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Do Investors' Sentiment Dynamics affect Stock Returns? Evidence from the US Economy

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  • Dergiades, Theologos

Abstract

This paper contributes to the understanding of the non-linear causal linkage between investors' sentiment dynamics and stock returns for the US economy. Employing the sentiment index developed by Baker and Wurgler (J. Econ. Perspect. 16: 129-151, 2007) and within a non-linear causality framework, we found that sentiment embodies significant predictive power with respect to stock returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Dergiades, Theologos, 2011. "Do Investors' Sentiment Dynamics affect Stock Returns? Evidence from the US Economy," MPRA Paper 51128, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Nov 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:51128
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investors' sentiment; Stock returns; Non-linear Granger causality.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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