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An Empirical Note on Tax Auditing and the Size of the Underground Economy in the United States, 1962-1980

Author

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  • Cebula, Richard
  • Saltz, Ira

Abstract

Based on the empirical estimation in this study, for the period 1962-1980, it appears that the underground economy in the United States was sensitive to the federal personal income tax rate, inflation, and the percentage of filed tax returns audited by the IRS. Presumably, the problem associated with inflation has been largely addressed by the inflation-indexing provisions of the Tax Reform Act of 1986. Regarding federal personal income taxation, the relative size of the underground economy could presumably have been diminished by a lower effective tax rate. Furthermore, a more aggressive tax auditing policy might also have induced increased reporting of earned income.

Suggested Citation

  • Cebula, Richard & Saltz, Ira, 2000. "An Empirical Note on Tax Auditing and the Size of the Underground Economy in the United States, 1962-1980," MPRA Paper 50559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50559
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/50559/1/MPRA_paper_50559.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Philip Cagan, 1958. "The Demand for Currency Relative to Total Money Supply," NBER Chapters, in: The Demand for Currency Relative to Total Money Supply, pages 1-37, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    3. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Cebula, Richard J. & Coombs, Christopher & Yang, Bill Z., 2009. "The Tax Reform Act of 1986: An Assessment in Terms of Tax Compliance Behavior," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 62(2), pages 145-162.
    2. Cebula, Richard & McGrath, Richard, 2001. "A Further Inquiry into Determinants of Aggregate Income Tax Evasion," MPRA Paper 59489, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    underground economy; unreported income; income tax rate; inflation; tax auditing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • M42 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Auditing

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