Random Walk and Multiple Structural Breaks In Thai Stock Market
The Zivot and Andrews (1992) one-break and Lumsdaine and Papell (1997) two-break unit root tests are used to investigate the random walk hypothesis in Thai stock prices for the period December 1987 to December 2005. The results provide strong evidence that the Thai stock prices are characterized by a random walk, supporting this view that it is highly unlikely to make windfall profits in the Thai stock market using past price movements. Moreover, the dates of the endogenously determined structural break interestingly coincided with the Asian crisis and world recessions.
|Date of creation:||2009|
|Publication status:||Published in Empirical Economics Letters 5.8(2009): pp. 501-506|
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"Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
944, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
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