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Currency Devaluation, External Finance and Economic Growth: A Note on the Greek Case

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  • Mariolis, Theodore

Abstract

This paper combines dynamic input-output price models with Thirlwall’s extended model of balance of payments constrained growth to estimate the effect of a switch to drachma on domestic income. The findings suggest that a return to national currency would not necessarily deepen the recession, although a rather large nominal devaluation, i.e. in excess of 57%-60%, is necessary for the recovery.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariolis, Theodore, 2013. "Currency Devaluation, External Finance and Economic Growth: A Note on the Greek Case," MPRA Paper 45257, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:45257
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/45257/1/MPRA_paper_45257.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anthony Philip Thirlwall, 2012. "Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Models: History and Overview," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Elias Soukiazis & Pedro A. Cerqueira (ed.), Models of Balance of Payments Constrained Growth, chapter 1, pages 11-49, Palgrave Macmillan.
    2. Anthony P. Thirlwall, 2011. "The Balance of Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(259), pages 429-438.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Theodore Katsanevas, 2015. "The Eurozone Crisis and the Structured Grexit as the Proper Alternative for Greece," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 32-47.
    2. Theodore Mariolis & Nikolaos Rodousakis & Apostolis Katsinos, 2019. "Wage versus currency devaluation, price pass-through and income distribution: a comparative input–output analysis of the Greek and Italian economies," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 8(1), pages 1-23, December.
    3. Mariolis, Theodore & Soklis, George, 2014. "The Sraffian Multiplier for the Greek Economy: Evidence from the Supply and Use Table for the Year 2010," MPRA Paper 60253, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • E11 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Marxian; Sraffian; Kaleckian
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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