IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/38574.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Fuzzy cognitive maps face the question of the Greek current account deficit sustainability

Author

Listed:
  • Mateou, Nicos H.
  • Zombanakis, George A.

Abstract

This paper offers an alternative approach to policy modeling aiming at considering the question of the Greek current account deficit sustainability using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM). Given that the large Greek current account deficit figures reported during the past few years have become the source of increasing concern regarding its sustainability and bearing in mind the wide variety of views on this issue, we have chosen to resort to an entirely different technique compared to traditional policy modeling. The paper concludes that despite its size, the current account deficit of Greece can be considered sustainable. This conclusion, however, must not be taken as neglecting the structural weaknesses that lead to such a deficit. In fact, even in the absence of any financing requirements these high deficit figures point to serious competitiveness losses with everything that these may entail for the future performance of the Greek economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Mateou, Nicos H. & Zombanakis, George A., 2009. "Fuzzy cognitive maps face the question of the Greek current account deficit sustainability," MPRA Paper 38574, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:38574
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/38574/1/MPRA_paper_38574.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicholas Apergis & Konstantinos Katrakilidis & Nicholas Tabakis, 2000. "Current account deficit sustainability: The case of Greece," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(9), pages 599-603.
    2. Sebastian Edwards, 2005. "Is the U.S. Current Account Deficit Sustainable? And If Not, How Costly is Adjustment Likely To Be?," NBER Working Papers 11541, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. A. J. Makin, 1989. "Is the Current Account Deficit Sustainable?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 22(2), pages 29-33.
    4. Freund, Caroline, 2005. "Current account adjustment in industrial countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(8), pages 1278-1298, December.
    5. Andreou, A. S. & Mateou, N. H. & Zombanakis, George A., 2003. "Crisis Management and Political Decision Making Using Genetically Evolved Fuzzy Cognitive Maps," MPRA Paper 51639, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Feb 2003.
    6. Husted, Steven, 1992. "The Emerging U.S. Current Account Deficit in the 1980s: A Cointegration Analysis," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(1), pages 159-166, February.
    7. repec:sae:niesru:v:169:y::i:1:p:96-104 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Richard N. Cooper, 2001. "Is the U.S. Current Account Deficit Sustainable? Will It Be Sustained?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 32(1), pages 217-226.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Soft Computing; Fuzzy Cognitive Maps; Current Account Deficit Sustainability;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:38574. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Joachim Winter) or (Rebekah McClure). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.