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Estimating Import-Demand Function in ARDL Framework: The Case of Pakistan

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  • Rashid, Abdul
  • Razzaq, Tayyaba

Abstract

We estimate the import demand function for Pakistan using the structural model recently developed by Emran and Shilpi (2010). ARDL and DOLS techniques are used to estimate the log-run coefficients of price and income elasticities. The empirical results from ARDL bound testing approach and Johansen’s method for cointegration show strong evidence of the existence of a long-run stable relationship among the variables included in the import demand model. The price and income elasticity estimates have correct signs and are statistically significant. The coefficient of scarcity premium, as it appeared statistically significant with correct sign, confirms the presence of a binding foreign exchange constraint on aggregate import demand, particularly before the period of trade liberalization.

Suggested Citation

  • Rashid, Abdul & Razzaq, Tayyaba, 2010. "Estimating Import-Demand Function in ARDL Framework: The Case of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 26079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:26079
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema, 2005. "Estimating income and price elasticities of imports for Fiji in a cointegration framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 423-438, May.
    7. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Chui, Michael K F, 1999. "Estimating Income and Price Elasticities of Trade in a Cointegration Framework," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 254-264, May.
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    9. Robert A. Amano & Wai-Ming Ho & Tony S. Wirjanto, 1999. "Intraperiod and Intertemporal Substitution in Import Demand," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 84, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
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    Cited by:

    1. Khurram Ashfaq Baluch & Syed Kalim Hyder Bukhari, 2012. "Price and Income Elasticity of Imports: The Case of Pakistan," Working Papers id:4899, eSocialSciences.
    2. Zunia Saif Tirmazee & Resham Naveed, 2014. "Reviewing Pakistan’s Import Demand Function: A Time-Series Analysis, 1970–2010," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 19(Special E), pages 371-393, September.
    3. Mohamed Abbas Ibrahim, 2017. "An Examination of the Merchandise Imports Demand Function for Egypt," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 101-112, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Import Demand; Foreign Exchange Constraint; ARDL; DOLS; Pakistan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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