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Effects of market sentiment in index option pricing: a study of CNX NIFTY index option

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  • Nagarajan, Thirukumaran
  • Malipeddi, Koteswararao

Abstract

This paper provides evidence of the role of sentiments in pricing Indian CNX Nifty index call Option during the period from April 2002 to December 2008. It also shows that Black-Scholes option pricing model using the implied volatility of previous day is pricing the Index options much closer to the actual price compared to Modified Black-Scholes pricing model incorporating non-normal skewness and kurtosis suggested by Corrado & Sue [1996]. The market is pricing the call option higher than Black-Scholes price during bullish period compared to that of bearish period even though sentiments are incorporated in the underlying asset which in this case is the Nifty Index. The index call options are priced about 1.5 percent more than Black-Scholes price during Bullish period compared to that of Bearish period during the period of observation.

Suggested Citation

  • Nagarajan, Thirukumaran & Malipeddi, Koteswararao, 2009. "Effects of market sentiment in index option pricing: a study of CNX NIFTY index option," MPRA Paper 17943, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:17943
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/17943/1/MPRA_paper_17943.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicolas P. B. Bollen & Robert E. Whaley, 2004. "Does Net Buying Pressure Affect the Shape of Implied Volatility Functions?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(2), pages 711-753, April.
    2. C. J. Corrado & Tie Su, 1997. "Implied volatility skews and stock return skewness and kurtosis implied by stock option prices," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 73-85, March.
    3. Saurabha, Rritu & Tiwari, Manvendra, 2007. "Empirical Study of the effect of including Skewness and Kurtosis in Black Scholes option pricing formula on S&P CNX Nifty index Options," MPRA Paper 6329, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Wang, Yaw-Huei & Keswani, Aneel & Taylor, Stephen J., 2006. "The relationships between sentiment, returns and volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 109-123.
    5. Christine A. Brown & David M. Robinson, 2002. "Skewness and Kurtosis Implied by Option Prices: A Correction," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 279-282, June.
    6. Charles J. Corrado & Tie Su, 1996. "Skewness And Kurtosis In S&P 500 Index Returns Implied By Option Prices," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 19(2), pages 175-192, June.
    7. Andrea Buraschi & Alexei Jiltsov, 2006. "Model Uncertainty and Option Markets with Heterogeneous Beliefs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(6), pages 2841-2897, December.
    8. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Han & Wu, Xingyi & Wu, Di & Nie, Xin, 2019. "Will land development time restriction reduce land price? The perspective of American call options," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 75-83.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Option Pricing; Black-Scholes option pricing model; Modified Black- Scholes by Corrado & Sue; Put call ratio; Sentiment indicators;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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