IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/124142.html

Transition énergétique, durabilité et réduction des émissions en Tunisie : une analyse empirique par le modèle ardl
[Energy transition, sustainability and emission reduction in Tunisia: an empirical analysis using the ardl model]

Author

Listed:
  • amayed, Yasser

Abstract

Résumé : La transition énergétique est un enjeu stratégique pour la Tunisie, confrontée à une forte dépendance aux énergies fossiles et à la nécessité de réduire ses émissions de gaz à effet de serre (GES). Cette étude analyse l’impact des politiques énergétiques sur les émissions de CO₂ et la durabilité économique à l’aide d’un modèle ARDL. Les résultats révèlent qu’à court terme, la croissance économique augmente les émissions de CO₂, traduisant une forte dépendance aux combustibles fossiles. À long terme, une hausse de la consommation d’énergies renouvelables réduit significativement ces émissions, tandis que la consommation énergétique globale reste le principal facteur d’augmentation des GES. Ces observations soulignent l’urgence d’accélérer la diversification du mix énergétique, d’investir dans des infrastructures durables et de mettre en place des réformes institutionnelles pour une transition énergétique efficace et durable. Abstract : The energy transition constitutes a strategic issue for Tunisia, which faces a considerable reliance on fossil fuels and the necessity to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study utilises an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to analyse the impact of energy policies on CO₂ emissions and economic sustainability. The findings indicate that in the short term, economic growth is associated with an increase in CO₂ emissions, reflecting a significant reliance on fossil fuels. However, in the long term, an increase in the consumption of renewable energy has been shown to have a significant effect in reducing CO2 emissions, although overall energy consumption remains the main driver of GHG emissions. These observations underscore the pressing need for the urgent acceleration of the diversification of the energy mix, the investment in sustainable infrastructure, and the implementation of institutional reforms for an efficient and sustainable energy transition.

Suggested Citation

  • amayed, Yasser, 2025. "Transition énergétique, durabilité et réduction des émissions en Tunisie : une analyse empirique par le modèle ardl [Energy transition, sustainability and emission reduction in Tunisia: an empirical analysis using the ardl model]," MPRA Paper 124142, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:124142
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/124142/1/MPRA_paper_124142.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nuno Quental & Júlia Lourenço & Fernando da Silva, 2011. "Sustainability: characteristics and scientific roots," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 257-276, April.
    2. John Hartwick, 1977. "Intergenerational Equity and the Investment of Rents from Exhaustible Resources in a Two Sector Model," Working Paper 281, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    3. Yu-Shan Chen & Shyh-Bao Lai & Chao-Tung Wen, 2006. "The Influence of Green Innovation Performance on Corporate Advantage in Taiwan," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 331-339, September.
    4. Gene M. Grossman & Elhanan Helpman, 1991. "Quality Ladders in the Theory of Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(1), pages 43-61.
    5. Daly, Herman E., 1990. "Toward some operational principles of sustainable development," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-6, April.
    6. Francisco L. Rivera-Batiz & Luis A. Rivera-Batiz, 2018. "Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Francisco L Rivera-Batiz & Luis A Rivera-Batiz (ed.), International Trade, Capital Flows and Economic Development, chapter 1, pages 3-32, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. Severin Borenstein & Lucas W. Davis, 2016. "The Distributional Effects of US Clean Energy Tax Credits," Tax Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(1), pages 191-234.
    8. Saadaoui, Haifa & Omri, Emna & Chtourou, Nouri, 2024. "The transition to renewable energies in Tunisia: The asymmetric impacts of technological innovation, government stability, and democracy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    9. Mounir Dahmani & Mohamed Mabrouki & Ludovic Ragni, 2021. "Decoupling Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Economic Growth: A Case Study of Tunisia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-15, November.
    10. Romer, Paul M, 1990. "Endogenous Technological Change," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 71-102, October.
    11. Harold Hotelling, 1931. "The Economics of Exhaustible Resources," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 39(2), pages 137-137.
    12. Aghion, Philippe & Howitt, Peter, 1992. "A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 323-351, March.
    13. R. M. Solow, 1974. "Intergenerational Equity and Exhaustible Resources," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 41(5), pages 29-45.
    14. Hartwick, John M, 1977. "Intergenerational Equity and the Investing of Rents from Exhaustible Resources," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(5), pages 972-974, December.
    15. Kirk Hamilton & Giovanni Ruta & Liaila Tajibaeva, 2006. "Capital Accumulation and Resource Depletion: A Hartwick Rule Counterfactual," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 34(4), pages 517-533, August.
    16. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Voosholz, Frauke, 2014. "A survey on modeling economic growth. With special interest on natural resource use," CAWM Discussion Papers 69, University of Münster, Münster Center for Economic Policy (MEP).
    2. Pedro Rui Mazeda Gil, 2009. "Animal Spirits and the Composition of Innovation in a Lab-Equipment R&D Model," FEP Working Papers 336, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    3. Manel Kamoun & Ines Abdelkafi & Abdelfetah Ghorbel, 2019. "The Impact of Renewable Energy on Sustainable Growth: Evidence from a Panel of OECD Countries," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 10(1), pages 221-237, March.
    4. Gros, Daniel & Alcidi, Cinzia, 2014. "The Global Economy in 2030: Trends and Strategies for Europe," CEPS Papers 9142, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    5. Saïd Hanchane & Abdouni Abdeljabbar, 2004. "La dynamique de la croissance économique et de l'ouverture dans les pays en voie de développement : quelques investigations empiriques à partir des données de Panel," Working Papers halshs-00083720, HAL.
    6. Humberto Llavador & John E. Roemer & Joaquim Silvestre, 2013. "Should we sustain? And if so, sustain what? Consumption or the quality of life?," Chapters, in: Roger Fouquet (ed.), Handbook on Energy and Climate Change, chapter 30, pages 639-665, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. Sabau, Gabriela L., 2010. "Know, live and let live: Towards a redefinition of the knowledge-based economy -- sustainable development nexus," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(6), pages 1193-1201, April.
    8. Michaels, Guy, 2010. "Challenges for research on resource-rich economies," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 55256, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas, 2000. "Was there endogenous growth in Chile (1960 - 1998)? A test of the AK-model," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 7, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    10. Thomas Ziesemer, 2018. "Testing the Growth Links of Emerging Economies: Croatia in a Growing World Economy," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1-27.
    11. Lindmark, Magnus & Acar, Sevil, 2013. "Sustainability in the making? A historical estimate of Swedish sustainable and unsustainable development 1850–2000," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 176-187.
    12. Hart, Rob, 2002. "Growth, environment, and culture--encompassing competing ideologies in one 'new growth' model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 253-267, February.
    13. Hassler, J. & Krusell, P. & Smith, A.A., 2016. "Environmental Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1893-2008, Elsevier.
    14. Diana Dimitrova, 2018. "The 2018 Nobel Prize in Economics," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 98-152.
    15. Backus, David K. & Kehoe, Patrick J. & Kehoe, Timothy J., 1992. "In search of scale effects in trade and growth," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 377-409, December.
    16. Óscar Afonso, 2001. "The Impact of International Trade on Economic Growth," FEP Working Papers 106, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    17. Jaewon Jung, 2019. "Technology, skill, and growth in a global economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 68(3), pages 609-641, October.
    18. Michael Jakob & William F. Lamb & Jan Christoph Steckel & Christian Flachsland & Ottmar Edenhofer, 2020. "Understanding different perspectives on economic growth and climate policy," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(6), November.
    19. Nayab Akhtar & Abdul Rashid, 2024. "Financial development and sustainable development: A review of literature," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 7114-7139, December.
    20. Segerstrom, Paul, 1996. "Lecture Notes on Knowledge and Human Capital in the New Growth Theory," Working Paper Series 475, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:124142. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.