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Early warning signals and their role in preventing banking crises. The Czech Republic case


  • Vodová, Pavla


In recent decades many countries have experienced banking crisis, for example Mexico (1994-1995), East Asian countries (after 1997) and transition economies (in 1990´s). The Czech Republic can not be omitted. The aim of this article is to characterise the role of early warning signals in measuring the vulnerability of countries to systemic banking crisis and to analyse how successfully these indicators could have been able to predict the banking crisis in case of Czech Republic. The first part of this paper defines the term banking crisis and describes indicators of banking crisis. The content of the second part of the paper are the individual early warning signals. The next part contains the characteristics of banking crisis in the Czech Republic. The last chapter tries to analyse the level of success of early warning signals in predicting the banking crisis in the Czech Republic.

Suggested Citation

  • Vodová, Pavla, 2004. "Early warning signals and their role in preventing banking crises. The Czech Republic case," MPRA Paper 11902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:11902

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Gerard Caprio & Patrick Honohan, 2008. "Banking Crises," Center for Development Economics 2008-09, Department of Economics, Williams College.
    2. Stijn Claessens & Daniela Klingebiel & Luc Laeven, 2001. "Financial Restructuring in Banking and Corporate Sector Crises: What Policies to Pursue?," NBER Working Papers 8386, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item


    banking crisis; nonperforming loans; bank failures; GDP growth;

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages


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