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Chinese Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth of Bangladesh: A VECM Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Sakib, Mohammad Nazmus
  • pande, Saikat
  • kumar, Rimon
  • Arif, Dr. Kazi mostafa

Abstract

The main objective of this study was to find out the impact of Chinese FDI on the economic growth of Bangladesh where yearly time series data is used over a period from 1997 to 2020. To obtain those objectives, this study implies the Johansen Co-integration test and vector error correction model as statistical techniques. This study explores that there is a positive and significant long-run relationship among Chinese FDI, Total FDI, Openness of trade, and economic growth of Bangladesh but those variables have no impact on Bangladesh economic growth in the short run. These results also identify there is a long-term granger causality occurring from Chinese FDI, TFDI, and trade openness to the GDP of Bangladesh. Our estimating error correction results is -.72 which conclude that in the long run, the economy is restored around .72 percent of the previous year's disequilibrium within the model and normalized co-integrating coefficient forecast a one percent increase in CFDI and one percent increase in TFDI elicit 0.04% and 0.17% increase in GDP respectively. So that, for enhancing GDP and economic development of Bangladesh our government should influence to bring out the Chinese FDI in our country and make effective policy that can create a strong long-run relationship between two countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Sakib, Mohammad Nazmus & pande, Saikat & kumar, Rimon & Arif, Dr. Kazi mostafa, 2021. "Chinese Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth of Bangladesh: A VECM Analysis," MPRA Paper 109654, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:109654
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Asaduzzaman, Md, 2019. "FDI as an Opportunity for Economic growth of Bangladesh: A VECM Analysis," MPRA Paper 110328, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Dec 2019.
    2. Syed Sundus Raza & Anwar Hussain, 2016. "The Nexus of Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Growth and Environment in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(2), pages 95-111.
    3. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    4. Najaf Ali & Ye Mingque, 2018. "An Application of Vector Error Correction Model Approach in Explaining the Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth of Asian Developing Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 133-139.
    5. Mohammed Ershad Hussain & Mahfuzul Haque, 2016. "Foreign Direct Investment, Trade, and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis of Bangladesh," Economies, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-14, April.
    6. Raymond Vernon, 1966. "International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 80(2), pages 190-207.
    7. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    8. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
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    Cited by:

    1. Syeda Nasrin Akter & Shuoben Bi & Mohammad Shoyeb & Muhammad Salah Uddin & Md. Mozammel Haque, 2025. "Belt and Road Initiative and Sustainable Development: Evidence from Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-26, July.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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