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Some Stylized Facts of Returns in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets in Peru

Author

Listed:
  • Alberto Humala

    ()

  • Gabriel Rodriguez

    () (Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú)

Abstract

Some stylized facts for foreign exchange and stock market returns are explored using statistical methods. Formal statistics for testing presence of autocorrelation, asymmetry, and other deviations from normality are applied to these ?nancial returns. Dynamic correlations and di¤erent kernel estimations and approximations of the empirical distributions are also under scrutiny. Furthermore, dynamic analysis of mean, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis are also performed to evaluate time-varying properties in return distributions. Main results reveal di¤erent sources and types of non-normality in the return distributions in both markets. Left fat tails, excess kurtosis, return clustering and unconditional time-varying moments show important deviations from normal- ity. Identi?able volatility cycles in both forex and stock markets are associated to common macro ?nancial uncertainty events.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Humala & Gabriel Rodriguez, 2011. "Some Stylized Facts of Returns in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets in Peru," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2011-325, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
  • Handle: RePEc:pcp:pucwps:wp00325
    as

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    File URL: http://files.pucp.edu.pe/departamento/economia/DDD325.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mauricio Zevallos, 2008. "Estimación del riesgo bursátil peruano," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, issue 62, pages 109-126.
    2. Mills,Terence C. & Markellos,Raphael N., 2008. "The Econometric Modelling of Financial Time Series," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521710091.
    3. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521770415.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    5. Mills,Terence C. & Markellos,Raphael N., 2008. "The Econometric Modelling of Financial Time Series," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521883818.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriel Rodríguez & Dennis Alvaro & Ángel Guillén, 2016. " Modelling the Volatility of Commodities Prices using a Stochastic Volatility Model with Random Level Shifts [Modelando la volatilidad de los precios de los commodities utilizando un modelo de volatil," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-414, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    2. Gabriel Rodríguez, 2015. "Modeling Latin-American Stock Markets Volatility: Varying Probabilities and Mean Reversion in a Random Level Shifts Model," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2015-403, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    3. Gabriel Rodriguez & Roxana Tramontana, 2014. " An Application of a Short Memory Model With Random Level Shifts to the Volatility of Latin American Stock Market Returns," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2014-385, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    4. Gabriel Rodríguez, 2016. " Modeling Latin-American Stock and Forex Markets Volatility: Empirical Application of a Model with Random Level Shifts and Genuine Long Memory [Modelando la volatilidad de los mercados bursátiles y ca," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-416, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    5. Gabriel Rodríguez & Roxana Tramontana Tocto, 2015. "Application of a Short Memory Model With Random Level Shifts to the Volatility of Latin American Stock Market Returns," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 52(2), pages 185-211, November.
    6. Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2016. "An application of a random level shifts model to the volatility of Peruvian stock and exchange rate returns," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 34-55, March.
    7. Renzo Pardo Figueroa & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2014. " Distinguishing between True and Spurious Long Memory in the Volatility of Stock Market Returns in Latin America," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2014-395, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    8. Gabriel Rodriguez & Willy Alanya, 2016. " Asymmetries in Volatility: An Empirical Study for the Peruvian Stock and Forex Market [Asimetrías en volatilidad: Un estudio empírico para los mercados bursátil y cambiario del Perú]," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-413, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    9. Patricia Lengua & Cristian Bayes & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2015. " A Stochastic Volatility Model with GH Skew Student’s t-Distribution: Application to Latin-American Stock Returns," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2015-405, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    10. Andres Herrera & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2014. " Volatility of Stock Market and Exchange Rate Returns in Peru: Long Memory or Short Memory with Level Shifts?," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2014-393, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    11. Gabriel Rodríguez & José Carlos Gonzáles Tanaka, 2016. " An Empirical Application of a Random Level Shifts Model with Time-Varying Probability and Mean Reversion to the Volatility of Latin-American Forex Markets Returns [Una aplicación empírica de un model," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-415, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    12. Alfredo Calderon Vela & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2014. " Extreme Value Theory: An Application to the Peruvian Stock Market Returns," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2014-394, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Non-Normal Distributions; Stock Market Returns; Foreign Exchage; Market Returns;

    JEL classification:

    • C16 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Econometric and Statistical Methods; Specific Distributions
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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