Is the Taylor rule really different from the McCallum rule?
When base velocity is a stable function of the Federal funds rate (FFR), the money base-nominal GDP targeting rule (McCallum rule) can be re-parameterised and presented in terms of FFR as the policy instrument. Comparison of this McCallum modified policy rule with the popular Taylor rule suggests that these two rules and the FFR are actually cointegrated. Model-based evaluations of the two rules' stabilisation properties indicate that the modified McCallum rule is similar to the Taylor rule. The key to this result is the degree of interest rate smoothing applied to the policy rules.
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Working Paper Series
93, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
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