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Using Household Rosters from Survey Data to Estimate All-cause Mortality during COVID in India

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  • Anup Malani
  • Sabareesh Ramachandran

Abstract

Official statistics on deaths due to COVID undercount deaths due to lack of testing. In developed countries, death registries have been used to measure total excess death during the pandemic. However, very few developing countries have even partial death registries or the capacity to register deaths during a pandemic. In this paper we estimate excess deaths in India using the member roster of a large and representative household panel survey. We estimate roughly 6.3 million excess deaths during the pandemic through August 2021. We cannot demonstrate causality between COVID and deaths but the timing and age structure of deaths is consistent with the COVID pandemic and excess deaths are positively correlated with reported infections. Finally, we find that excess deaths were higher among higher-income persons and were negatively associated with mobility. The methods in this paper can be used in countries with a household panel to measure health-related demographic indicators.

Suggested Citation

  • Anup Malani & Sabareesh Ramachandran, 2021. "Using Household Rosters from Survey Data to Estimate All-cause Mortality during COVID in India," NBER Working Papers 29192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:29192
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    1. Joseph G. Altonji & Todd E. Elder & Christopher R. Taber, 2005. "Selection on Observed and Unobserved Variables: Assessing the Effectiveness of Catholic Schools," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(1), pages 151-184, February.
    2. Manfred S Green & Dorit Nitzan & Naama Schwartz & Yaron Niv & Victoria Peer, 2021. "Sex differences in the case-fatality rates for COVID-19—A comparison of the age-related differences and consistency over seven countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-13, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Arpit Gupta & Anup Malani & Bartosz Woda, 2021. "Inequality in India Declined During COVID," NBER Working Papers 29597, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Anup Malani & Satej Soman & Sabareesh Ramachandran & Alice Chen & Darius N. Lakdawalla, 2022. "Vaccine Allocation Priorities Using Disease Surveillance and Economic Data," NBER Working Papers 29682, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C80 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - General
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I14 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Inequality

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