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The risks of exiting too early the policy responses to the COVID-19 recession

Author

Listed:
  • Nuno Cassola
  • Paul De Grauwe
  • Claudio Morana
  • Patrizio Tirelli

Abstract

This policy brief warns about the risks of discontinuing the policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis by pursuing exit strategies too early and/or too sharply. It outlines a comprehensive strategy for limiting such risks globally and offers an in-depth discussion of the European situation. Due to fiscal rules written in a pre- COVID-19 era and excessive emphasis on controlling public debt ratios, the Euro Area could be left with long-lasting scars, so its situation requires special treatment. Therefore, we articulate some policy proposals designed to preserve and strengthen the recovery in the EMU.

Suggested Citation

  • Nuno Cassola & Paul De Grauwe & Claudio Morana & Patrizio Tirelli, 2021. "The risks of exiting too early the policy responses to the COVID-19 recession," Working Papers 484, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mib:wpaper:484
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    Cited by:

    1. Fernandes, Mário Correia & Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2023. "Modelling output gaps in the Euro Area with structural breaks: The COVID-19 recession," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1046-1058.

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    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

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