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Discounting under disagreement

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  • Geoffrey Heal
  • Antony Millner

Abstract

A group of time consistent agents has access to a common productive resource stock whose output provides their consumption needs. The agents disagree about the appropriate pure rate of time preference to use when choosing a consumption policy, and thus delegate the management of the resource to a social planner who allocates consumption efficiently across individuals and over time. We show that the planner's optimal policy is equivalent to that of a representative agent with a time varying rate of impatience. The representative agent's time preferences depend on the distribution of time preferences in the group, on the agents' tolerance for consumption uctuations, and on the productivity of the resource. The representative agent's rate of impatience coincides with that of the individual with the lowest rate of impatience in the long run, and under plausible conditions, is monotonically declining. In the work-horse case of iso-elastic felicity functions, and Gamma distributed rates of impatience, analytic solutions are possible, and the representative agent has hyperbolic time preferences. We thus provide a normative justification for the use of declining rates of time preference in dynamic welfare analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Geoffrey Heal & Antony Millner, 2013. "Discounting under disagreement," GRI Working Papers 112, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
  • Handle: RePEc:lsg:lsgwps:wp112
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    Cited by:

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    2. Francis Dennig, 2018. "Climate change and the re-evaluation of cost-benefit analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 43-54, November.
    3. Freeman, Mark C. & Groom, Ben, 2016. "How certain are we about the certainty-equivalent long term social discount rate?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 152-168.
    4. Kenneth J. Arrow & Maureen L. Cropper & Christian Gollier & Ben Groom & Geoffrey M. Heal & Richard G. Newell & William D. Nordhaus & Robert S. Pindyck & William A. Pizer & Paul R. Portney & Thomas Ste, 2014. "Editor's Choice Should Governments Use a Declining Discount Rate in Project Analysis?," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 8(2), pages 145-163.
    5. Quaas, Martin F. & Quaas, Johannes & Rickels, Wilfried & Boucher, Olivier, 2017. "Are there reasons against open-ended research into solar radiation management? A model of intergenerational decision-making under uncertainty," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1-17.
    6. Rozenberg, Julie & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & Hallegatte, Stephane, 2013. "How capital-based instruments facilitate the transition toward a low-carbon economy : a tradeoff between optimality and acceptability," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6609, The World Bank.
    7. Terrence Iverson & Scott Denning & Sammy Zahran, 2015. "When the long run matters," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 57-72, March.
    8. Mikhail Pakhnin, 2021. "Collective Choice with Heterogeneous Time Preferences," CESifo Working Paper Series 9141, CESifo.
    9. Antony Millner, 2016. "Heterogeneous intergenerational altruism," GRI Working Papers 226, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    10. Ram Fishman, 2019. "Heterogeneous Patience, Bargaining Power and Investment in Future Public Goods," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 73(4), pages 1101-1107, August.
    11. Hänsel, Martin C. & Quaas, Martin F., 2018. "Intertemporal Distribution, Sufficiency, and the Social Cost of Carbon," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 520-535.
    12. Barrage, Lint, 2018. "Be careful what you calibrate for: Social discounting in general equilibrium," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 33-49.
    13. Antony Millner & Geoffrey Heal, 2015. "Collective intertemporal choice: time consistency vs. time invariance," GRI Working Papers 220, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    14. Maureen L. Cropper & Mark C. Freeman & Ben Groom & William A. Pizer, 2014. "Declining Discount Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(5), pages 538-543, May.
    15. Eveson, Simon P. & Thijssen, Jacco J.J., 2016. "Pareto optimality and existence of quasi-equilibrium in exchange economies with an indefinite future," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 138-152.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D61 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
    • D99 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Other

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