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Profit Dynamics across the Largest Euro Area countries and Sectors

Author

Listed:
  • Laurent Maurin

    (European Central Bank)

  • Moreno Roma

    (European Central Bank)

  • Igor Vetlov

    (Bank of Lithuania)

Abstract

This paper explores the behavior of profits in the four largest euro area countries (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) and the euro area as a whole, while at the same time considering three main sectors (manufacturing, construction and services) in each economy over the period 1988–2010. The paper presents stylized facts about profit developments and, applying a vector autoregressive modeling framework, discusses the sensitivity of profits to four distinctive structural shocks (a demand shock, an employment shock, a wage and price mark-up shocks). In addition, it provides the shock decomposition of historical developments in profits across countries and sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Laurent Maurin & Moreno Roma & Igor Vetlov, 2011. "Profit Dynamics across the Largest Euro Area countries and Sectors," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 12, Bank of Lithuania.
    • Handle: RePEc:lie:wpaper:12
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dées, Stéphane & Güntner, Jochen, 2014. "Analysing and forecasting price dynamics across euro area countries and sectors: a panel VAR approach," Working Paper Series 1724, European Central Bank.
    2. Francesc Sastre & Javier Rey-Maquieira & Italo Arbulú, 2017. "The euro crisis, fiscal devaluation, and impacts on the tourism sector in the Spanish economy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(4), pages 816-833, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Profits; sectoral determinants; VARs; impulse responses; historical decomposition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution

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