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Voting Power and Survival: The Case of a Ruling Party

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  • Jelnov, Artyom

    () (Ariel University)

  • Jelnov, Pavel

    () (Leibniz University of Hannover)

Abstract

In this article, we empirically study the survival of the ruling party in parliamentary democracies using a hazard rate model. We define survival of a crisis as being successful in a critical vote in the parliament. We develop a general probabilistic model of political crises and test it empirically. We find that during crises, parties in the parliament are likely to vote independently of each other. Thus, we receive as an empirical result what the previous voting power literature assumed.

Suggested Citation

  • Jelnov, Artyom & Jelnov, Pavel, 2019. "Voting Power and Survival: The Case of a Ruling Party," IZA Discussion Papers 12354, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp12354
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Baron, David P. & Ferejohn, John A., 1989. "Bargaining in Legislatures," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 83(4), pages 1181-1206, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    voting power; coalitions; cabinet duration; Shapley-Shubik index; Rae index;

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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