The impact of liquidity on inflation-linked bonds: A hypothetical indexed bonds approach
The sovereign’s intention to issue inflation-linked bonds (ILB) is to save money. More than 15 years’ experience with this financial instrument in the United States and in several other countries has led to the conclusion that these bonds are costly and basically characterized by low liquidity issues. Recently, various papers have started to analyze the impact of liquidity on ILB yields. This paper summarizes studies concerning ILB liquidity at a glance and adds a new estimation strategy of the liquidity premium based on Campbell & Shiller’s (1996) hypothetical ILB yields. We calculate the difference between observed and hypothetical ILB yields, regress this time series on a set of ILB-specific liquidity as well as general market uncertainty measures and find statistically and economically significant effects of the liquidity measures for the United States, the United Kingdom and Canada.
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- Rose, Andrew Kenan, 1988. " Is the Real Interest Rate Stable?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 43(5), pages 1095-1112, December.
- John Y. Campbell & Robert J. Shiller, 1996.
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in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1996, Volume 11, pages 155-208
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- John Y. Campbell & Robert J. Shiller, 1996. "A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1125, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- John Y. Campbell & Robert J. Shiller, 1996. "A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt," NBER Working Papers 5587, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Olesya V. Grishchenko & Jing-zhi Huang, 2012. "Inflation risk premium: evidence from the TIPS market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-06, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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