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After the Bust: The Outlook for Macroeconomics & Macroeconomic Policy

  • Thomas I. Palley

    ()

    (Economics for Democratic & Open Societies, Washington DC)

The current economic crisis offers an historic opportunity for change. The depth of the crisis means there will likely be a policy turn in a Keynesian and even Post Keynesian direction. However, there are profound political, intellectual and sociological obstacles blocking change in underlying economic thinking. In particular, the economics profession and its ideology remain unreformed, with little indication of change regarding core understandings concerning labor markets, globalization, and the theory of the natural rate of unemployment. The only place where there is evidence of substantive intellectual change is attitudes toward financial regulation. These obstacles will mute the policy response to the crisis, and if a deep crisis is averted will tend to encourage a return of the existing policies that have failed so disastrously.

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Paper provided by IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute in its series IMK Working Paper with number 20-2008.

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Length: 23 pages
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imk:wpaper:20-2008
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  1. Thomas I. Palley, 1997. "The Academic Jungle: Social Practice and the Survival of Economic Ideas," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 29(3), pages 22-33, September.
  2. Jensen, Michael C. & Meckling, William H., 1976. "Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 305-360, October.
  3. Michael P. Dooley & David Folkerts-Landau & Peter Garber, 2003. "An Essay on the Revived Bretton Woods System," NBER Working Papers 9971, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Alan S. Blinder & Ricardo Reis, 2005. "Understanding the Greenspan standard," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Aug, pages 11-96.
  5. William C. Brainard & James Tobin, 1968. "Pitfalls in Financial Model-Building," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 244, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  6. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
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