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Exchange rate and stock prices in Japan

Author

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  • Tetsushi Homma
  • Yoshiro Tsutsui
  • Uri Benzion

Abstract

This paper explores whether export intensity and net foreign position of the Japanese firms are carefully watched by investors and are properly reflected in the stock prices. By estimating a multifactor model including the TOPIX, the call rate, the exchange rate, and other variables representing the characteristics of individual firms, the market efficiency of the Japanese stock market has been examined. Novelty of this paper is in that the channels of the effect of exchange rate on stock prices are explicitly formulated and estimated directly, and in that the use of daily data enables knowledge to be gained on the market efficiency. The main results are as follows: (i) Japanese investors adequately consider the characteristics of the firms, such as the exporting behaviour and net foreign position. (ii) The market efficiency of the semistrong form has been improved throughout the period. (iii) Stock investors correctly evaluate firms' foreign asset position and appropriately respond to the change of the exchange rate after 1992. In contrast, investors began to pay attention to exporting firms much earlier, that is, since 1985.

Suggested Citation

  • Tetsushi Homma & Yoshiro Tsutsui & Uri Benzion, 2005. "Exchange rate and stock prices in Japan," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 469-478.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:15:y:2005:i:7:p:469-478
    DOI: 10.1080/09603100500056668
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:spr:manint:v:50:y:2010:i:6:d:10.1007_s11575-010-0058-8 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Hsiang-Hsi Liu & Robin K Chou, 2016. "A Comparative Study of the Taiwan and Japan Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets: Modeling, Estimation and Application of the Component Garch-in-Mean Model," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(5), pages 277-297, May.
    3. Tsutsui, Yoshiro & Hirayama, Kenjiro, 2004. "Are international portfolio adjustments a cause of comovements in stock prices?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 463-478, September.
    4. Yau, Hwey-Yun & Nieh, Chien-Chung, 2009. "Testing for cointegration with threshold effect between stock prices and exchange rates in Japan and Taiwan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 292-300, August.
    5. Yau, Hwey-Yun & Nieh, Chien-Chung, 2006. "Interrelationships among stock prices of Taiwan and Japan and NTD/Yen exchange rate," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 535-552, June.

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