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Exchange Rate Assessment in a Resource-Dependent Economy: The Case of Botswana

Author

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  • Ms. Corinne C Delechat
  • Matthew Gaertner

Abstract

The paper combines various methodologies to assessing the level of the exchange rate in Botswana, explicitly taking into account the implications of its dependency on diamond exports. Real exchange rate estimation indicates that, after a period of overvaluation, Botswana's real effective exchange rate is now broadly in line with economic fundamentals. The projected current account path is also consistent with external sustainability, defined to ensure sufficient savings of diamond wealth in order to maintain a stable import and consumption path through 2050. Sustaining consumption over the longer term will however require to address obstacles to non-diamond exports' competitiveness.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Corinne C Delechat & Matthew Gaertner, 2008. "Exchange Rate Assessment in a Resource-Dependent Economy: The Case of Botswana," IMF Working Papers 2008/083, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2008/083
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Fakhri Hasanov, 2010. "The Impact of Real Oil Price on Real Effective Exchange Rate: The Case of Azerbaijan," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1041, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Arthur Silve, 2018. "Asset Complementarity, Resource Shocks, and the Political Economy of Property Rights," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 62(7), pages 1489-1516, August.
    3. Okot, Anjelo & Kaltenbrunner, Annina & Perez Ruiz, Daniel, 2022. "Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa's low and lower middle-income countries," EIB Working Papers 2022/12, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    4. Barczikay, Tamás & Biedermann, Zsuzsánna & Szalai, László, 2020. "An investigation of a partial Dutch disease in Botswana," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    5. Abdullahi Ahmed & Andrew Hulten, 2014. "Financial Globalization in Botswana and Nigeria: A Critique of the Thresholds Paradigm," The Review of Black Political Economy, Springer;National Economic Association, vol. 41(2), pages 177-203, June.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2008. "Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix," IMF Staff Country Reports 2008/203, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Mr. Jens R Clausen, 2008. "Calculating Sustainable Non-mineral Balances as Benchmarks for Fiscal Policy: The Case of Botswana," IMF Working Papers 2008/117, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Pegg, Scott, 2010. "Is there a Dutch disease in Botswana?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 14-19, March.
    9. Mpho Bosupeng & Janet Dzator & Andrew Nadolny, 2019. "Exchange Rate Misalignment and Capital Flight from Botswana: A Cointegration Approach with Risk Thresholds," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-26, June.
    10. Mpho Bosupeng & Janet Dzator & Andrew Nadolny, 2019. "Wechselkursfehlausrichtung und Kapitalflucht ab Botswana: Ein Cointegrationsansatz mit Risikoschwellen [Exchange Rate Misalignment and Capital Flight from Botswana: A Cointegration Approach with Ri," Post-Print hal-02168726, HAL.

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    Keywords

    WP; exchange rate; GDP; REER;
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