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Revisiting the nexus between currency misalignments and growth in the CFA Zone

Author

Listed:
  • Carl Grekou

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

In this paper, we revisit the link between currency misalignments and economic growth by taking into account foreign currency-denominated debt dynamics for the CFA zone countries over the period 1985–2011. Relying on a BEER approach and using panel cointegration techniques, we first derive currency misalignments. We then estimate a panel smooth transition growth equation that allows currency misalignment to exert nonlinear impacts on both economic growth and foreign currency-denominated debt dynamics. We find that the nonlinear impact of currency misalignments on growth through the competitiveness channel is mitigated by the foreign currency-denominated debt dynamics through a valuation effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Carl Grekou, 2015. "Revisiting the nexus between currency misalignments and growth in the CFA Zone," Post-Print hal-01620178, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01620178
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.11.015
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    Cited by:

    1. Carl Grekou, 2015. "Currency misalignments and economic growth: the foreign currency-denominated debt channel," Working Papers hal-04141399, HAL.
    2. Florian Morvillier, 2019. "Do currency undervaluations affect the impact of inflation on growth?," Post-Print hal-02138677, HAL.
    3. Cécile Couharde & Carl Grekou & Valérie Mignon & Florian Morvillier, 2024. "Reconciling Contrasting Views on the Growth Effect of Currency Undervaluations," Working Papers 2024-06, CEPII research center.
    4. Ferdinand Owoundi & Jacques Landry Bikai, 2021. "On the neutrality of the exchange rate regime regarding real misalignments: Evidence from sub‐Saharan Africa," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 327-345, July.
    5. S Coleman & J C Cuestas & E Mourelle, 2016. "Investigating the oil price-exchange rate nexus: evidence from Africa 1970-2004," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 21(2), pages 53-79, September.
    6. Mignamissi, Dieudonné, 2020. "The CFA Franc effect on trade," MPRA Paper 99018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Carl Grekou, 2015. "Currency misalignments and economic growth: the foreign currency-denominated debt channel," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    8. Couharde, Cécile & Grekou, Carl & Mignon, Valérie & Morvillier, Florian, 2025. "Reconciling contrasting views on the growth effect of currency misalignments," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    9. Wei, Wei & Zhang, Wan-Li & Wen, Jun & Wang, Jun-Sheng, 2020. "TFP growth in Chinese cities: The role of factor-intensity and industrial agglomeration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 534-549.
    10. Amor, Thouraya Hadj & Nouira, Ridha & Rault, Christophe & Sova, Anamaria Diana, 2023. "Real exchange rate misalignments and economic growth in Tunisia: New evidence from a threshold analysis of asymmetric adjustments," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 215-227.
    11. DEGUENONVO, Cédric, 2017. "Real exchange rate misalignment in Senegal: effect on growth," MPRA Paper 84338, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Abdul Jalil, 2021. "Exchange Rate Policy Must Seek Undervaluation!," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 60(1), pages 85-91.
    13. Dinci J. Penzin & Afees Salisu & Benedict N.Akanegbu, 2022. "A Note On Public Debt-Private Investment Nexus In Emerging Economies," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 25-36, June.
    14. Kirsi Zongo & Mahamadou Diarra & Idrissa M. Ouedraogo, 2024. "Effects of foreign direct investment on industrial development in Sub-Saharan Africa: the role of exchange rate misalignment," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 51(4), pages 925-955, December.
    15. Andrea Salazar-Díaz & Aarón Levi Garavito-Acosta & Sergio Restrepo Ángel & Leidy Viviana Arcila-Agudelo, 2023. "Real Equilibrium Exchange Rate in Colombia: Thousands of VEC Models Approach," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 99, pages 33-78, July-Dece.
    16. Morvillier, Florian, 2020. "Do currency undervaluations affect the impact of inflation on growth?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 275-292.
    17. Idris Abdullahi Abdulqadir, 2022. "The nonlinearity of exchange rate pass‐through on currency invoice: A quantile, generalized method of moments and threshold effect‐test from sub‐Sahara African economies," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1473-1494, January.
    18. Florian Morvillier, 2018. "The role of exchange rate undervaluations on the inflation-growth nexus," EconomiX Working Papers 2018-15, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    19. Антонова Любовь Александровна & Шиндина Татьяна Александровна, 2015. "Анализ Результатов Организации Валютного Контроля На Примере Челябинской Области," Bulletin of the South Ural State University. Series: Economics and management Вестник Южно-Уральского государственного университета. Серия: Экономика и менеджмент, CyberLeninka;Государственное образовательное учреждение высшего профессионального образования «Южно-Уральский государственный университет», vol. 9(1), pages 81-87.
    20. Wang, Yongpei & Yan, Weilong & Komonpipat, Supak, 2019. "How does the capacity utilization of thermal power generation affect pollutant emissions? Evidence from the panel data of China's provinces," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 440-451.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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