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Testing continuity of a density via g -order statistics in the regression discontinuity design

Author

Listed:
  • Federico A. Bugni

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Duke University)

  • Ivan A. Canay

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Northwestern University)

Abstract

In the regression discontinuity design (RDD), it is common practice to assess the credibility of the design by testing the continuity of the density of the running variable at the cut-off, e.g., McCrary (2008). In this paper we propose a new test for continuity of a density at a point based on the so-called g-order statistics, and study its properties under a novel asymptotic framework. The asymptotic framework is intended to approximate a small sample phenomenon: even though the total number n of observations may be large, the number of effective observations local to the cut-off is often small. Thus, while traditional asymptotics in RDD require a growing number of observations local to the cut-off as n ? 8, our framework allows for the number q of observations local to the cut-off to be fixed as n ? 8. The new test is easy to implement, asymptotically valid under weaker conditions than those used by competing methods, exhibits finite sample validity under stronger conditions than those needed for its asymptotic validity, and has favorable power properties against certain alternatives. In a simulation study, we find that the new test controls size remarkably well across designs. We finally apply our test to the design in Lee (2008), a well-known application of the RDD to study incumbency advantage.

Suggested Citation

  • Federico A. Bugni & Ivan A. Canay, 2018. "Testing continuity of a density via g -order statistics in the regression discontinuity design," CeMMAP working papers CWP20/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:20/18
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Takuya Ishihara & Masayuki Sawada, 2020. "Manipulation-Robust Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2009.07551, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    2. Yoichi Arai & Yu‐Chin Hsu & Toru Kitagawa & Ismael Mourifié & Yuanyuan Wan, 2022. "Testing identifying assumptions in fuzzy regression discontinuity designs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(1), pages 1-28, January.
    3. Tiago Cavalcanti & Kamiar Mohaddes & Hongyu Nian & Haitao Yin, 2023. "Air pollution and firm-level human capital, knowledge and innovation," Working Papers EPRG2301, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    4. Leopoldo Fergusson & Arturo Harker & Carlos Molina & Juan Camilo Yamín, 2023. "Political incentives and corruption evidence from ghost students," Documentos CEDE 20732, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    5. Shi, Xunpeng & Tian, Binbin & Yang, Longjian & Yu, Jian & Zhou, Siyang, 2023. "How do regulatory environmental policies perform? A case study of China's Top-10,000 enterprises energy-saving program," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    6. Koki Fusejima & Takuya Ishihara & Masayuki Sawada, 2022. "A unified diagnostic test for regression discontinuity designs," Papers 2205.04345, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    7. Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocío Titiunik, 2022. "Regression Discontinuity Designs," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 821-851, August.
    8. Atı̇la Abdulkadı̇roğlu & Joshua D. Angrist & Yusuke Narita & Parag Pathak, 2022. "Breaking Ties: Regression Discontinuity Design Meets Market Design," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(1), pages 117-151, January.
    9. Babii, Andrii & Kumar, Rohit, 2023. "Isotonic regression discontinuity designs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 371-393.
    10. Hsu, Yu-Chin & Shiu, Ji-Liang & Wan, Yuanyuan, 2024. "Testing identification conditions of LATE in fuzzy regression discontinuity designs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(1).
    11. Marinho Bertanha & Eunyi Chung, 2023. "Permutation Tests at Nonparametric Rates," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 118(544), pages 2833-2846, October.
    12. Yingying DONG & Ying-Ying LEE & Michael GOU, 2019. "Regression Discontinuity Designs with a Continuous Treatment," Discussion papers 19058, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    13. Yan Zhu & Hongfeng Zhang & Xu He, 2023. "Impact of New and Old Driving Force Conversion on Air Quality: Empirical Analysis Based on RDD," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-12, February.
    14. Noelia Bernal & Javier Olivera & Marc Suhrcke, 2024. "The effects of social pensions on nutrition‐related health outcomes of the poor: Quasi‐experimental evidence from Peru," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 971-991, May.
    15. Blaise Melly & Rafael Lalive, 2020. "Estimation, Inference, and Interpretation in the Regression Discontinuity Design," Diskussionsschriften dp2016, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    16. Somdeep Chatterjee & Pushkar Maitra & Manhar Manchanda, 2024. "The Relevant Third: Threat of Coalition and Economic Development," Monash Economics Working Papers 2024-13, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    17. Lu, Jiaxuan, 2023. "The economics of China’s between-city height competition: A regression discontinuity approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    18. Federico Crippa, 2024. "Manipulation Test for Multidimensional RDD," Papers 2402.10836, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regression discontinuity design; g-ordered statistics; sign tests; continuity; density;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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