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The State-level Burden of the Trade War: Interactions between the Market Facilitation Program and Tariffs

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Abstract

As the Trump Administration works with China's President Xi to pen a new US-China trade deal, Ed Balistreri, Wendong Zhang, and John Beghin examine the current US-China trade war and its uneven distribution of impacts on US states. The authors find that the distribution of Market Facilitation Payments created "winner" and "loser" states; that is, for some states, the MFP payments totally offset the incidence of tariff retaliation, and for others they don't. Interestingly, they note that while most of the winner states are "red" states that voted for President Trump in 2016, key "purple" battleground states, such as Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, didn't receive large enough MFP payments to offset tariff retaliations. Balistreri and Zhang are both CARD economists that have examined the US-China trade war in depth. They both helped author "The Impact of the 2018 Trade Disruptions on the Iowa Economy," a CARD series paper that was the first to determine the fiscal impacts the US-China trade war would have on Iowa's economy.

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  • Edward J. Balistreri & Wendong Zhang & John Beghin, 2020. "The State-level Burden of the Trade War: Interactions between the Market Facilitation Program and Tariffs," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications apr-winter-2020-1, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    • Handle: RePEc:ias:cpaper:apr-winter-2020-1
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    1. Wendong Zhang, 2019. "2019 Iowa State University Land Value Survey: Overview," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 19-wp597, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    2. Wendong Zhang, 2018. "2018 Iowa State University Land Value Survey: Overview," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 18-wp586, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    3. Dumortier, Jerome & Hayes, Dermot J. & Carriquiry, Miguel & Dong, Fengxia & Du, Xiaodong & Elobeid, Amani E. & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Martin, Pamela A. & Mulik, Kranti, 2012. "The effects of potential changes in United States beef production on global grazing systems and greenhouse gas emissions," ISU General Staff Papers 201206010700001000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
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    1. Jaerim Choi & Sunghun Lim, 2023. "Tariffs, agricultural subsidies, and the 2020 US presidential election," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(4), pages 1149-1175, August.
    2. Morgan, Stephen & Arita, Shawn & Beckman, Jayson & Ahsan, Saquib & Russell, Dylan & Jarrell, Philip & Kenner, Bart, 2022. "The Economic Impacts of Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Agriculture," Economic Research Report 327180, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Wendong Zhang, 2021. "The Case for Healthy U.S.‐China Agricultural Trade Relations despite Deglobalization Pressures," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(1), pages 225-247, March.
    4. Avraam, Charalampos & Ceferino, Luis & Dvorkin, Yury, 2023. "Operational and economy-wide impacts of compound cyber-attacks and extreme weather events on electric power networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 349(C).
    5. Munisamy Gopinath, 2021. "Does Trade Policy Uncertainty Affect Agriculture?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 604-618, June.
    6. Joseph W. Glauber, 2021. "US Trade Aid Payments and the WTO," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 586-603, June.

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