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The effects of potential changes in United States beef production on global grazing systems and greenhouse gas emissions

Author

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  • Dumortier, Jerome
  • Hayes, Dermot J.
  • Carriquiry, Miguel
  • Dong, Fengxia
  • Du, Xiaodong
  • Elobeid, Amani E.
  • Fabiosa, Jacinto F.
  • Martin, Pamela A.
  • Mulik, Kranti

Abstract

We couple a global agricultural production and trade model with a greenhouse gas model to assess leakage associated with modified beef production in the United States. The effects on emissions from agricultural production (i.e., methane and nitrous oxide emissions from livestock and crop management) as well as from land-use change, especially grazing system, are assessed. We find that a reduction of US beef production induces net carbon emissions from global land-use change ranging from 37 to 85 kg CO2-equivalent per kg of beef annualized over 20 years. The increase in emissions is caused by an inelastic domestic demand as well as more land-intensive cattle production systems internationally. Changes in livestock production systems such as increasing stocking rate could partially offset emission increases from pasture expansion. In addition, net emissions from enteric fermentation increase because methane emissions per kilogram of beef tend to be higher globally.

Suggested Citation

  • Dumortier, Jerome & Hayes, Dermot J. & Carriquiry, Miguel & Dong, Fengxia & Du, Xiaodong & Elobeid, Amani E. & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Martin, Pamela A. & Mulik, Kranti, 2012. "The effects of potential changes in United States beef production on global grazing systems and greenhouse gas emissions," ISU General Staff Papers 201206010700001000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:201206010700001000
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    Cited by:

    1. Jerome Dumortier & Miguel Carriquiry & Amani Elobeid, 2021. "Impact of climate change on global agricultural markets under different shared socioeconomic pathways," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(6), pages 963-984, November.
    2. Amani Elobeid & Miguel Carriquiry & Jerome Dumortier & David Swenson & Dermot J. Hayes, 2021. "China‐U.S. trade dispute and its impact on global agricultural markets, the U.S. economy, and greenhouse gas emissions," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 647-672, September.
    3. Alban Thomas, 2020. "Is there a win-win scenario with both limited beef production and reduced beef consumption?," Working Papers hal-02790948, HAL.
    4. Dumortier, Jerome & Elobeid, Amani & Carriquiry, Miguel, 2022. "Light-duty vehicle fleet electrification in the United States and its effects on global agricultural markets," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    5. Dumortier, Jerome & Carriquiry, Miguel & Elobeid, Amani, 2021. "Where does all the biofuel go? Fuel efficiency gains and its effects on global agricultural production," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(PA).
    6. Dumortier, Jerome & Elobeid, Amani E. & Carriquiry, Miguel A., 2018. "Assessing the impact of closing global commodity yield gaps on food production and land-use change emissions from biofuels," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273875, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Bo Xiong & John C. Beghin, 2017. "Stringent Maximum Residue Limits, Protectionism, and Competitiveness: The Cases of the US and Canada," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: John Christopher Beghin (ed.), Nontariff Measures and International Trade, chapter 12, pages 193-207, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Edward J. Balistreri & Wendong Zhang & John Beghin, 2020. "The State-level Burden of the Trade War: Interactions between the Market Facilitation Program and Tariffs," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications apr-winter-2020-1, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    9. Jerome Dumortier & Amani Elobeid, 2020. "Effects of the Energy Innovation and Carbon Dividend Act on U.S. and Global Agricultural Markets," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 20-wp598, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    10. Elobeid, Amani & Carriquiry, Miguel A. & Demotier, Jerome & Rosas, Juan (Francisco) & Mulik, Kranti & Fabiosa, Jacinto F. & Hayes, Dermot J. & Babcock, Bruce A., 2013. "Biofuel Expansion, Fertilizer Use and GHG Emissions: Unintended Consequences of Mitigation Policies," Staff General Research Papers Archive 37415, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    11. Miguel Carriquiry & Amani Elobeid & Jerome Dumortier & Ryan Goodrich, 2020. "Incorporating Sub‐National Brazilian Agricultural Production and Land‐Use into U.S. Biofuel Policy Evaluation," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(3), pages 497-523, September.
    12. Jerome Dumortier & Amani Elobeid, 2020. "Implications of a US Carbon Tax on Agricultural Markets and GHG Emissions from Land-use Change," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications apr-winter-2020-4, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    13. Feliu López-i-Gelats & Jordi Bartolomé Filella, 2020. "Examining the role of organic production schemes in Mediterranean pastoralism," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(6), pages 5771-5792, August.
    14. Chad Hart & Lee L. Schulz, 2020. "The Phase One Trade Deal: Projections and Implications," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications apr-winter-2020-3, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    15. Dumortier, Jerome & Elobeid, Amani, 2021. "Effects of a carbon tax in the United States on agricultural markets and carbon emissions from land-use change," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    16. Jerome Dumortier & Miguel Carriquiry & Amani Elobeid, 2023. "Interactions Between U.S. Vehicle Electrification, Climate Change, and Global Agricultural Markets," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(1), pages 99-123, January.
    17. Alejandro Plastina, 2020. "New Farm Bill, New Decisions, New Tools," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications apr-winter-2020-2, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.

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