IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/iab/iabkbe/200921.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Beschäftigung und Erwerbspersonenpotenzial in der langen Frist: Demografie prägt den ostdeutschen Arbeitsmarkt (Labour demand and labour supply in the long run: Demographic effects on the East German labour market)

Author

Listed:
  • Fuchs, Johann

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Hummel, Markus

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Zika, Gerd

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

Abstract

"The labour market in East Germany will undergo a dramatic change due to the demographic development. The paper focuses on the impact of a substantially decreasing and ageing labour force. It discusses in particular how this could hinder the employment prospects in East Germany up to 2050. As the younger cohorts are far smaller than the older cohorts now approaching retirement, a shortage of qualified workers in the near future seems to become more likely than ever." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Fuchs, Johann & Hummel, Markus & Zika, Gerd, 2009. "Beschäftigung und Erwerbspersonenpotenzial in der langen Frist: Demografie prägt den ostdeutschen Arbeitsmarkt (Labour demand and labour supply in the long run: Demographic effects on the East German ," IAB-Kurzbericht 200921, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabkbe:200921
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doku.iab.de/kurzber/2009/kb2109.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fuchs, Johann & Dörfler, Katrin, 2005. "Projektion des Erwerbspersonenpotenzials bis 2050 : Annahmen und Datengrundlage," IAB-Forschungsbericht 200525, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    2. Fuchs, Johann, 2006. "Rente mit 67: Neue Herausforderungen für die Beschäftigungspolitik," IAB-Kurzbericht 200616, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    3. Kubis, Alexander & Schneider, Lutz, 2008. "Im Fokus: Zuwanderungschancen ostdeutscher Regionen," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 14(10), pages 377-381.
    4. Bernd Meyer & Christian Lutz & Peter Schnur & Gerd Zika, 2007. "National Economic Policy Simulations with Global Interdependencies: A Sensitivity Analysis for Germany," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 37-55.
    5. Fuchs, Johann & Söhnlein, Doris, 2005. "Langfristprojektion bis 2050: Dramatischer Rückgang der Bevölkerung im Osten," IAB-Kurzbericht 200519, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lehr, Ulrike & Nitsch, Joachim & Kratzat, Marlene & Lutz, Christian & Edler, Dietmar, 2008. "Renewable energy and employment in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 108-117, January.
    2. Lehr, Ulrike & Lutz, Christian & Edler, Dietmar, 2012. "Green jobs? Economic impacts of renewable energy in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 358-364.
    3. Feil, Michael & Klinger, Sabine & Zika, Gerd, 2006. "Sozialabgaben und Beschäftigung : Simulationen mit drei makroökonomischen Modellen," IAB-Discussion Paper 200622, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    4. Andrea Stocker & Anett Großmann & Friedrich Hinterberger & Marc Wolter, 2014. "A low growth path in Austria: potential causes, consequences and policy options," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(3), pages 445-465, August.
    5. Christian Lutz, 2010. "How to increase global resource productivity? Findings from modelling in the petrE project," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 343-356, August.
    6. Anke Mönnig & Britta Stöver, 2009. "Eine Änderung in der Konsumstruktur und ihre Folgen für die Gesamtwirtschaft - wie wichtig ist der Kauf von Fahrzeugen?," GWS Discussion Paper Series 09-4, GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research.
    7. Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Eichler & Beate Henschel & Harald Lehmann & Carsten Pohl & Lutz Schneider & Helmut Seitz & Marcel Thum, 2007. "Die demographische Entwicklung in Ostdeutschland : Gutachten im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Wirtschaft und Technologie," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 41.
    8. EFI - Expertenkommission Forschung und Innovation (ed.), 2021. "Gutachten zu Forschung, Innovation und technologischer Leistungsfähigkeit Deutschlands 2021," Reports on Research, Innovation and Technological Performance in Germany, Expertenkommission Forschung und Innovation (EFI) - Commission of Experts for Research and Innovation, Berlin, volume 127, number 2021, March.
    9. Schnur, Peter & Zika, Gerd, 2007. "Arbeitskräftebedarf bis 2025: Die Grenzen der Expansion," IAB-Kurzbericht 200726, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    10. Distelkamp, Martin & Drosdowski, Thomas & Ludewig, Oliver & Otto, Anne, 2008. "Beschäftigungsprojektion Rheinland-Pfalz und Saarland," IAB-Regional. Berichte und Analysen aus dem Regionalen Forschungsnetz. IAB Rheinland-Pfalz-Saarland 200801, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    11. Britta Stoever, 2011. "The implications of demographic change for the regional retail trade relevant purchasing power in North Rhine-Westphalia," EcoMod2011 2839, EcoMod.
    12. Maier, Tobias & Neuber-Pohl, Caroline & Mönnig, Anke & Zika, Gerd & Kalinowski, Michael, 2017. "Modelling reallocation processes in long-term labour market projections," Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 50(1), pages 67-90.
    13. Philip Ulrich & Ulrike Lehr, 2016. "Economic effects of E-mobility scenarios in the context of intermediate interrelations and consumption," EcoMod2016 9219, EcoMod.
    14. Paul Welfens & Christian Lutz, 2012. "Green ICT dynamics: key issues and findings for Germany," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 24(2), pages 155-163, June.
    15. Herbert S. Buscher & Eva Dettmann & Marco Sunder & Dirk Trocka, 2009. "Will There Be a Shortage of Skilled Labor? An East German Perspective to 2015," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 60(Supplemen), pages 55-82.
    16. Thomas Drosdowski & Marc Ingo Wolter, 2008. "Sozioökonomische Modellierung: Integration der Sozioökonomischen Gesamtrechnung (SGR) des Statistischen Bundesamtes in DEMOS II," GWS Discussion Paper Series 08-8, GWS - Institute of Economic Structures Research.
    17. Biersack, Wolfgang & Kettner, Anja & Reinberg, Alexander & Schreyer, Franziska, 2008. "Akademiker/innen auf dem Arbeitsmarkt: Gut positioniert, gefragt und bald sehr knapp," IAB-Kurzbericht 200818, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    18. Lutz, Christian & Meyer, Bernd, 2009. "Economic impacts of higher oil and gas prices: The role of international trade for Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 882-887, November.
    19. Tobias Maier & Caroline Neuber-Pohl & Anke Mönnig & Gerd Zika & Michael Kalinowski, 2017. "Modelling reallocation processes in long-term labour market projections [Modellierung von Anpassungsprozessen in langfristigen Arbeitsmarktprojektionen]," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 50(1), pages 67-90, August.
    20. Fuchs, Michaela & Sujata, Uwe & Weyh, Antje, 2011. "Herausforderungen des demografischen Wandels für den Arbeitsmarkt in Sachsen," IAB-Regional. Berichte und Analysen aus dem Regionalen Forschungsnetz. IAB Sachsen 201101, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:iab:iabkbe:200921. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: IAB, Geschäftsbereich Wissenschaftliche Fachinformation und Bibliothek (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iabbbde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.