IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hum/wpaper/sfb649dp2014-036.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Portfolio Decisions and Brain Reactions via the CEAD method

Author

Listed:
  • Piotr Majer
  • Peter Mohr
  • Hauke Heekeren
  • Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Abstract

Decision making can be a complex process requiring the integration of several attributes of choice options. Understanding the neural processes underlying (uncertain) investment decisions is an important topic in neuroeconomics. We analyzed functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data from an investment decision (ID) study for ID-related effects. We propose a new technique for identifying activated brain regions: Cluster, Estimation, Activation and Decision (CEAD) method. Our analysis is focused on clusters of voxels rather than voxel units. Thus, we achieve a higher signal to noise ratio within the unit tested and a smaller number of hypothesis tests compared with the often used General Linear Model (GLM). We propose to first conduct the brain parcellation by applying spatially constrained NCUT spectral clustering. The information within each cluster can then be extracted by the flexible DSFM dimension reduction technique and finally be tested for differences in activation between conditions. This sequence of Cluster, Estimation, Activation and Decision admits a model-free analysis of the local BOLD signal. Applying a GLM on the DSFM-based time series resulted in a significant correlation between the risk of choice options and changes in fMRI signal in the anterior insula (aINS) and DMPFC. Additionally, individual differences in decision-related reactions within the DSFM time series predicted individual differences in risk attitudes as modeled with the framework of the mean-variance model.

Suggested Citation

  • Piotr Majer & Peter Mohr & Hauke Heekeren & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2014. "Portfolio Decisions and Brain Reactions via the CEAD method," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2014-036, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-036
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://sfb649.wiwi.hu-berlin.de/papers/pdf/SFB649DP2014-036.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter N. C. Mohr & Guido Biele & Hauke R. Heekeren, 2010. "Neural Processing of Risk," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2010-065, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    2. Nikos K. Logothetis, 2008. "What we can do and what we cannot do with fMRI," Nature, Nature, vol. 453(7197), pages 869-878, June.
    3. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Colin F. Camerer, 2007. "Neuroeconomics: Using Neuroscience to Make Economic Predictions," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 117(519), pages 26-42, March.
    5. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    6. Colin F. Camerer, 2013. "Goals, Methods, and Progress in Neuroeconomics," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 5(1), pages 425-455, May.
    7. Elke U. Weber & Richard A. Milliman, 1997. "Perceived Risk Attitudes: Relating Risk Perception to Risky Choice," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(2), pages 123-144, February.
    8. Park, Byeong U. & Mammen, Enno & Härdle, Wolfgang & Borak, Szymon, 2009. "Time Series Modelling With Semiparametric Factor Dynamics," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(485), pages 284-298.
    9. Alena Bömmel & Song Song & Piotr Majer & Peter Mohr & Hauke Heekeren & Wolfgang Härdle, 2014. "Risk Patterns and Correlated Brain Activities. Multidimensional Statistical Analysis of fMRI Data in Economic Decision Making Study," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 79(3), pages 489-514, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Morawetz, Carmen & Mohr, Peter N. C. & Heekeren, Hauke R. & Bode, Stefan, 2019. "The effect of emotion regulation on risk-taking and decision-related activity in prefrontal cortex," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 14(10), pages 1109-1118.
    2. Tran, Ngoc M. & Burdejová, Petra & Ospienko, Maria & Härdle, Wolfgang K., 2019. "Principal component analysis in an asymmetric norm," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-21.
    3. Ying Chen & Wolfgang K. Härdle & Qiang He & Piotr Majer, 2015. "Risk Related Brain Regions Detected with 3D Image FPCA," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2015-022, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    4. Maria Grith & Wolfgang K. Härdle & Alois Kneip & Heiko Wagner, 2016. "Functional Principal Component Analysis for Derivatives of Multivariate Curves," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2016-033, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    5. Chao, Shih-Kang & Härdle, Wolfgang K. & Huang, Chen, 2018. "Multivariate factorizable expectile regression with application to fMRI data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 1-19.
    6. Shih-Kang Chao & Wolfgang K. Härdle & Chen Huang, 2016. "Multivariate Factorisable Sparse Asymmetric Least Squares Regression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2016-058, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen Ying & Härdle Wolfgang K. & He Qiang & Majer Piotr, 2018. "Risk related brain regions detection and individual risk classification with 3D image FPCA," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 35(3-4), pages 89-110, July.
    2. Christine Kaufmann & Martin Weber & Emily Haisley, 2013. "The Role of Experience Sampling and Graphical Displays on One's Investment Risk Appetite," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(2), pages 323-340, July.
    3. Csanaky, András & Ulbert, József, 2004. "Kockázatészlelés és kockázati magatartás [Risk testing and risk behaviour]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(3), pages 235-258.
    4. Li, Yingxing & Huang, Chen & Härdle, Wolfgang K., 2019. "Spatial functional principal component analysis with applications to brain image data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 263-274.
    5. Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2015. "Alegerea soluţiilor pentru expunerile faţă de risc [Choosing solutions to risk exposures]," MPRA Paper 65074, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Rockenbach, Bettina & Sadrieh, Abdolkarim & Mathauschek, Barbara, 2007. "Teams take the better risks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 63(3), pages 412-422, July.
    7. Alex Huang, 2013. "Value at risk estimation by quantile regression and kernel estimator," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 225-251, August.
    8. Hooi Hooi Lean & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2013. "Risk-averse and Risk-seeking Investor Preferences for Oil Spot and Futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-31, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Aug 2013.
    9. Doll, Monika & Seebauer, Michael & Tonn, Maren, 2017. "Bargaining over waiting time in gain and loss framed ultimatum games," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 15/2017, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    10. Moshe Levy & Haim Levy, 2013. "Prospect Theory: Much Ado About Nothing?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 7, pages 129-144, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    11. Gilboa, Itzhak & Postlewaite, Andrew & Samuelson, Larry, 2016. "Memorable consumption," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 414-455.
    12. Massimiliano Caporin & Grégory M. Jannin & Francesco Lisi & Bertrand B. Maillet, 2014. "A Survey On The Four Families Of Performance Measures," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(5), pages 917-942, December.
    13. Mario Alejandro Acosta R., 2014. "Las acciones como activo de reserva para el Banco de la República," Documentos CEDE 11004, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    14. Bo Zhang & Jin Peng & Shengguo Li, 2015. "Uncertain programming models for portfolio selection with uncertain returns," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(14), pages 2510-2519, October.
    15. Lean, Hooi Hooi & McAleer, Michael & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2015. "Preferences of risk-averse and risk-seeking investors for oil spot and futures before, during and after the Global Financial Crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 204-216.
    16. Banerjee, Priyodorshi & Das, Tanmoy, 2019. "Simultaneous decisions under risk: An experimental investigation," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    17. Felipe A. Csaszar & Daniel A. Levinthal, 2016. "Mental representation and the discovery of new strategies," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(10), pages 2031-2049, October.
    18. Heß, Moritz & Scheve, Christian von & Schupp, Jürgen & Wagner, Aiko & Wagner, Gert G., 2018. "Are Political Representatives More Risk-Loving Than the Electorate? Evidence from German Federal and State Parliaments," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7.
    19. Witte, Björn-Christopher, 2012. "Fund managers - Why the best might be the worst: On the evolutionary vigor of risk-seeking behavior," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-20, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    20. Montford, William J. & Leary, R. Bret & Nagel, Duane M., 2019. "The impact of implicit self-theories and loss salience on financial risk," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 1-11.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    risk; risk attitude; fMRI; decision making; neuroeconomics; semiparametric model; factor structure; brain imaging; spatial clustering; inference on clusters; CEAD method;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C9 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-036. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: RDC-Team (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/sohubde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.