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Central Bank Communication In The Xxi Century: A Survey Of Theory And Evidence

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  • Hanna O. Sakhno

    () (National Research University Higher School of Economics)

Abstract

After the recent global financial crisis, central banks in advanced and developing economies found themselves unable to stick to their mandate goal of price stability by resorting to traditional instruments of monetary policy. When key interest rates approached the zero bound, the need to develop a new toolkit of liquidity provision arose. Central banks embarked on numerous non-standard monetary policy measures aimed at ensuring financial stability and restoring economic growth. Communication has become an effective auxiliary instrument of economic policy, and markets started paying precise attention to the way central bankers report information regarding the future path of monetary policy. The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of recent trends and developments in central bank communication strategies. By resorting to the existing literature, we analyze the origins of central bank communication and the evolution of its role in time. We also study the main instruments of communication strategies of large central banks. In the final part of the study, we investigate the communication strategy of the US Federal Reserve and the way it may cause spillovers to fragile markets abroad. We outline at least three major channels of international policy transmission: through stocks, bonds and exchange rates fluctuations

Suggested Citation

  • Hanna O. Sakhno, 2018. "Central Bank Communication In The Xxi Century: A Survey Of Theory And Evidence," HSE Working papers WP BRP 16/PSP/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:hig:wpaper:16/psp/2018
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    File URL: https://wp.hse.ru/data/2018/03/27/1164892127/16PSP2018.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 910-945, December.
    2. repec:wly:jmoncb:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:171-185 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Eric Santor & Lena Suchanek, 2016. "A New Era of Central Banking: Unconventional Monetary Policies," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2016(Spring), pages 29-42.
    4. Sylvester Eijffinger & Donato Masciandaro (ed.), 2014. "Modern Monetary Policy and Central Bank Governance," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 15692, Winter-Su.
    5. Richhild Moessner, 2015. "International spillovers from US forward guidance to equity markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(42), pages 4549-4560, September.
    6. Smith, Andrew Lee & Becker, Thealexa, 2015. "Has Forward Guidance Been Effective?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 57-78.
    7. Jiaqian Chen & Tommaso Mancini Griffoli & Ratna Sahay, 2014. "Spillovers from United States Monetary Policy on Emerging Markets; Different This Time?," IMF Working Papers 14/240, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli, 2016. "From Silence to Voice: Monetary Policy, Central Bank Governance and Communication," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1627, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    9. Cukierman, Alex & Webb, Steven B & Neyapti, Bilin, 1992. "Measuring the Independence of Central Banks and Its Effect on Policy Outcomes," World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, vol. 6(3), pages 353-398, September.
    10. Siklos, Pierre L. & Sturm, Jan-Egbert (ed.), 2013. "Central Bank Communication, Decision Making, and Governance: Issues, Challenges, and Case Studies," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262018934, March.
    11. Ianthi Vayid, 2013. "Central Bank Communications Before, During and After the Crisis: From Open-Market Operations to Open-Mouth Policy," Staff Working Papers 13-41, Bank of Canada.
    12. repec:pri:cepsud:161blinder is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Yasuo Hirose & Takushi Kurozumi, 2017. "Changes in the Federal Reserve Communication Strategy: A Structural Investigation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(1), pages 171-185, February.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    central bank communication; unconventional monetary policy; international spillovers; the Federal Reserve.;

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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