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Quel objectif pour la dette publique à moyen terme ?

  • Patrick Villieu

    ()

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans - CNRS - UO - Université d'Orléans)

Following the financial crisis, governments of industrialized countries have undertaken major programs to stimulate demand and to recapitalize banks. As a result, levels of public debt rose sharply, and they will probably continue to do so in the near future in the OECD countries. However, there is no consensus on the effects of public debt on the economy. This article examines the theoretical contributions to this debate. First, we question the possible existence of a desirable target for public debt, and then we focus on two major risks associated with long-term indebtedness: its impact on growth and the stability of the policy mix.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Working Papers with number halshs-00829660.

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Date of creation: 28 Oct 2011
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Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00829660
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  1. Stephen Cecchetti & Madhusudan Mohanty & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2010. "The future of public debt: prospects and implications," BIS Working Papers 300, Bank for International Settlements.
  2. Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2008. "Investissement public et effets non linéaires des déficits budgétaires," Post-Print halshs-00370739, HAL.
  3. Barro, Robert J, 1979. "On the Determination of the Public Debt," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(5), pages 940-71, October.
  4. Sutherland, Alan, 1997. "Fiscal crises and aggregate demand: can high public debt reverse the effects of fiscal policy?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(2), pages 147-162, August.
  5. Gilles Saint-Paul, 1992. "Fiscal Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 107(4), pages 1243-1259.
  6. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "A Decade of Debt," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Miguel Fuentes D. & Claudio E. Raddatz & Carmen M. Reinhart (ed.), Capital Mobility and Monetary Policy, edition 1, volume 18, chapter 4, pages 97-135 Central Bank of Chile.
  7. Kathryn Birkeland & Edward C. Prescott, 2007. "On the needed quantity of government debt," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Nov, pages 2-15.
  8. S. Rao Aiyagari & Albert Marcet & Thomas J. Sargent & Juha Seppala, 2002. "Optimal Taxation without State-Contingent Debt," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 110(6), pages 1220-1254, December.
  9. Catherine Mathieu & Henri Sterdyniak, 2003. "Réformer le Pacte de stabilité : l'état du débat," Post-Print hal-01018168, HAL.
  10. Michael Woodford, 1996. "Control of the Public Debt: A Requirement for Price Stability?," NBER Working Papers 5684, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  11. Blanchard, Olivier J & Giavazzi, Francesco, 2004. "Improving the SGP Through a Proper Accounting of Public Investment," CEPR Discussion Papers 4220, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  12. Barro, Robert J., 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Scholarly Articles 3451399, Harvard University Department of Economics.
  13. F. Modigliani & J.-P. Fitoussi & B. Moro & D. Snower & R. Solow & A. Steinherr & P. Sylos Labini, 1998. "An economists' Manifesto on unemployment in the European Union," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 51(206), pages 327-361.
  14. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/1783 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. Calvo, Guillermo A, 1988. "Servicing the Public Debt: The Role of Expectations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(4), pages 647-61, September.
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