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Investissement public et effets non linéaires des déficits budgétaires

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandru Minea

    (LEO, Université d’Orléans)

  • Patrick Villieu

    (LEO, Université d’Orléans)

Abstract

Dans cet article, nous proposons un modèle théorique simple dans lequel l’impact du déficit budgétaire sur les dépenses publiques d’investissement dépend du niveau de dette publique (en pourcentage du PIB). Lorsque la dette publique est faible, l’impact du déficit est positif, car la charge de la dette peut être très élevée, en revanche, il n’est plus possible de réduire les dépenses de consommation, et l’ajustement s’opère pas les dépenses d’investissement, de sorte que la relation entre déficit et dépenses publiques d’investissement devient négative. Une analyse empirique menée dans un modèle économétrique avec effets de seuil en panel sur 22 pays de l’OCDE vient confirmer cette non linéarité.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2009. "Investissement public et effets non linéaires des déficits budgétaires," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 2009031, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    • Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvre:2009031
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    File URL: http://sites.uclouvain.be/econ/DP/REL/2009031.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Yang, Yukai, 2005. "Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 604, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 11 Oct 2017.
    2. Hansen, Bruce E., 1999. "Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 345-368, December.
    3. Bertola, Giuseppe & Drazen, Allan, 1993. "Trigger Points and Budget Cuts: Explaining the Effects of Fiscal Austerity," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(1), pages 11-26, March.
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    5. Alberto Alesina & Roberto Perotti, 1995. "Fiscal Expansions and Fiscal Adjustments in OECD Countries," NBER Working Papers 5214, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Feldstein, Martin, 1982. "Government deficits and aggregate demand," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20.
    7. Mr. Michael Kell, 2001. "An Assessment of Fiscal Rules in the United Kingdom," IMF Working Papers 2001/091, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2010. "Dette publique, croissance et bien-être : une perspective de long terme," Post-Print halshs-00672605, HAL.
    2. BIKAI, J. Landry, 2015. "Fiscal Rules and Pro-cyclicality of the Fiscal Policy in CEMAC countries," MPRA Paper 78229, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Patrick Villieu, 2011. "Quel objectif pour la dette publique à moyen terme ?," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 103(3), pages 79-98.
    4. Abdenour, Redouan & Tounsi, Said, 2015. "Non-Linear Effects of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth: Moroccan Case," MPRA Paper 69830, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2016.
    5. Boukhatem, Jamel & Kaabi, Malèk, 2015. "Dette publique, qualité institutionnelle et croissance économique dans les pays de la région MENA : analyse par la méthode des moments généralisés [Public debt, institutional quality and economic g," MPRA Paper 65756, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 23 Jul 2015.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    déficit; dépenses publiques productives; effets non linéaires de la politique fiscale;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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