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Dette publique, croissance et bien-être : une perspective de long terme

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandru Minea

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UdA - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Patrick Villieu

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans [2008-2011] - UO - Université d'Orléans - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Nous proposons un modèle théorique simple permettant de prendre en compte l'existence de régimes d'endettement de long terme, en accord avec les faits saillants observés en longue période. Nous nous intéressons particulièrement aux effets d'une hausse permanente de la dette publique sur la croissance à long terme, et nous montrons que ces effets, toujours négatifs (on nuls), dépendent dans leur ampleur de la variable d'ajustement à la charge de la dette dans la contrainte budgétaire de l'Etat. Enfin, nous montrons qu'au contraire des effets sur la croissance, les effets sur le bien-être à long terme d'une hausse permanente de la dette publique peuvent être positifs. Nous en déduisons l'existence d'un seuil optimal pour le ratio de dette publique au PIB.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2010. "Dette publique, croissance et bien-être : une perspective de long terme," Post-Print halshs-00672605, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00672605
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    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Izu, Akhenaton, 2014. "Crise de la dette et détresse sociale du peuple congolais [Debt crisis and social distress of the Congolese]," MPRA Paper 64186, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Feb 2015.
    3. Nastasia Henry & Alain Venditti, 2023. "On the (de)stabilization role of protectionism: Theory and evidence," Working Papers hal-04311555, HAL.

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