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Prise en compte de l'attitude face au risque dans le cadre de la directive MiFID

  • André De Palma

    (ENS Cachan - Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan - École normale supérieure de Cachan - ENS Cachan, Department of Economics, Ecole Polytechnique - CNRS : UMR7176 - Polytechnique - X)

  • Nathalie Picard

    (Department of Economics, Ecole Polytechnique - CNRS : UMR7176 - Polytechnique - X, THEMA - Théorie économique, modélisation et applications - CNRS : UMR8184 - Université de Cergy Pontoise)

  • Jean-Luc Prigent

    (THEMA - Théorie économique, modélisation et applications - CNRS : UMR8184 - Université de Cergy Pontoise)

La directive européenne MiFID du 1er novembre 2007, mise en application en France par l'AMF, a trouvé récemment (et en particulier depuis la crise financière) de nouveaux éléments de justification. Sa mise en place soulève néanmoins des questions méthodologiques (encore largement sous-estimées) relatives à l'analyse du comportement des investisseurs. Nous nous intéressons ici aux implications de cette directive et proposons un cadre d'analyse pour l'étude des préférences des investisseurs, et pour l'évaluation de leurs implications au niveau de la gestion de portefeuille. En particulier, nous analysons les conséquences d'une mauvaise adéquation portefeuille-client investisseur. Pour ce faire, nous étudions les implications des biais de perception et de prédiction des lois de probabilité des rendements financiers, à la fois dans le cadre de l'utilité espérée et dans celui de l'utilité non-espérée. Enfin, nous proposons une modélisation économétrique opérationnelle des choix des investisseurs basée sur la théorie des modèles de choix discrets.

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Date of creation: 22 Sep 2009
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Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00418892
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