IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-05396063.html

La répudiation : une décision de dernier ressort en l'absence de mécanisme de gestion ordonnée des crises de la dette souveraine

Author

Listed:
  • Claire Barraud

    (UGA UFR FEG - Université Grenoble Alpes - Faculté d'Économie de Grenoble - UGA [2016-2019] - Université Grenoble Alpes [2016-2019], CREPPEM - Centre de Recherche Économique sur les Politiques Publiques dans une Économie de Marché - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2)

Abstract

L'Equateur a répudié une large partie de sa dette commerciale portant sur les Bonos Global le 20 novembre dernier. Compte tenu de l'histoire de l'endettement du pays, partagée par de nombreux pays qui ont subi la crise de la dette des années 1980, le but est dans un premier temps de montrer que cette décision unilatérale est légitime, voire même salutaire. Dans un second temps, il s'agira de voir qu'une telle décision pourrait néanmoins être épargnée au Gouvernement s'il existait un mécanisme de restructuration de la dette souveraine permettant à la fois de prendre en compte les intérêts du débiteur, et plus seulement l'opinion des marchés, et de légitimer le contrôle sur les mouvements des capitaux. Au-delà, compte tenu des défaillances récurrentes du système financier international, il est nécessaire de procéder à une réforme de fond qui s'envisage à travers la régulation de ce dernier hors-marché.

Suggested Citation

  • Claire Barraud, 2009. "La répudiation : une décision de dernier ressort en l'absence de mécanisme de gestion ordonnée des crises de la dette souveraine," Post-Print hal-05396063, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05396063
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05396063v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-05396063v1/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jérôme Sgard, 2002. "L’économie de la panique : faire face aux crises financières," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03585872, HAL.
    2. Sandrine Levasseur & Christine Rifflart, 2003. "Crises de dette souveraine : vers une nouvelle résolution ?," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 86(3), pages 83-131.
    3. Eichengreen, Barry & Mody, Ashoka, 2000. "Would Collective Action Clauses Raise Borrowing Costs? An Update and Additional Results," Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series qt46p4z4c4, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    4. Bulow, Jeremy & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1989. "Sovereign Debt: Is to Forgive to Forget?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(1), pages 43-50, March.
    5. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2443 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Jonathan Eaton & Mark Gersovitz, 1981. "Debt with Potential Repudiation: Theoretical and Empirical Analysis," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 48(2), pages 289-309.
    7. Daniel Cohen & Jeffrey Sachs, 1991. "Growth and External Debt Under Risk of Debt Repudiation," NBER Chapters, in: International Volatility and Economic Growth: The First Ten Years of The International Seminar on Macroeconomics, pages 437-472, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Eichengreen, Barry & Mody, Ashoka, 1999. "Would Collective Action Clauses Raise Borrowing Costs?," CEPR Discussion Papers 2343, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/2443 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Jérôme Sgard, 2002. "L’économie de la panique : faire face aux crises financières," Post-Print hal-03585872, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Claire Barraud, 2009. "La Répudiation de la Dette Souveraine et ses Conséquences : Le Cas de l’Equateur," Post-Print hal-05396224, HAL.
    2. Sourbron Leentje Ann & Vereeck Lode, 2017. "To Pay or Not to Pay? Evaluating the Belgian Law Against Vulture Funds," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, June.
    3. Ghosal, Sayantan & Thampanishvong, Kannika, 2013. "Does strengthening Collective Action Clauses (CACs) help?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 68-78.
    4. Victor Filipe Martins da Rocha & Yiannis Vailakis, 2014. "Self-enforcing Debt, Reputation, and the Role of Interest Rates," Working Papers hal-01097114, HAL.
    5. Cristina Arellano, 2008. "Default Risk and Income Fluctuations in Emerging Economies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(3), pages 690-712, June.
    6. Thomas, Jonathan P., 2004. "Bankruptcy proceedings for sovereign state insolvency and their effect on capital flows," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 341-361.
    7. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 2010. "Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets: A Survey," NBER Working Papers 16125, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Klimenko, Mikhail M., 2002. "Trade interdependence, the international financial institutions, and the recent evolution of sovereign-debt renegotiations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 177-209, October.
    9. Alogoskoufis, George & Malliaris, A.G. & Stengos, Thanasis, 2023. "The scope and methodology of economic and financial asymmetries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    10. Kohlscheen, E. & O'Connell, S. A., 2006. "A Sovereign Debt Model with Trade Credit and Reserves," Economic Research Papers 269636, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    11. Victor Filipe Martins da Rocha & Toan Phan & Yiannis Vailakis, 2019. "Debt Limits and Credit Bubbles in General Equilibrium," Post-Print hal-02429759, HAL.
    12. Bardozzetti, Alfredo & Dottori, Davide, 2014. "Collective action clauses: How do they affect sovereign bond yields?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 286-303.
    13. Benjamin M. Friedman, 2000. "Debt Restructuring," NBER Working Papers 7722, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Gelos, R. Gaston & Sahay, Ratna & Sandleris, Guido, 2011. "Sovereign borrowing by developing countries: What determines market access?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 243-254, March.
    15. Kenneth Kletzer & Mr. Barry J. Eichengreen & Mr. Ashoka Mody, 2003. "Crisis Resolution: Next Steps," IMF Working Papers 2003/196, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Michelle White, 2002. "Sovereigns in Distress: Do They Need Bankruptcy?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 33(1), pages 287-320.
    17. Haichao Fan & Xiang Gao, 2017. "Domestic Creditor Rights and External Private Debt," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 127(606), pages 2410-2440, November.
    18. Bora Durdu & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2004. "Putting the brakes on Sudden Stops: the financial frictions - moral hazard tradeoff of asset price guarantees," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue jun.
    19. Aguiar, M. & Chatterjee, S. & Cole, H. & Stangebye, Z., 2016. "Quantitative Models of Sovereign Debt Crises," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1697-1755, Elsevier.
    20. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1lu2rbsv0n8pkqid81q0tfof3f is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Onel, Gulcan & Utkulu, Utku, 2006. "Modeling the long-run sustainability of Turkish external debt with structural changes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 669-682, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05396063. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.