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Monetary Regimes and External Shocks Reaction: Empirical Investigations on Eastern European Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Khan

    (INSIGHT - Insight Centre for Data Analytics - UCC - University College Cork)

  • Nikolay Nenovsky

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans [2008-2011] - UO - Université d'Orléans - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CRIISEA - Centre de Recherche sur les Institutions, l'Industrie et les Systèmes Économiques d'Amiens - UR UPJV 3908 - UPJV - Université de Picardie Jules Verne)

Abstract

In the late 90's, after severe financial crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability, Eastern Europe emerged into two radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and Inflation targeting). The task of our study is to compare econometrically the performance of these two regimes in terms of their resilience to the external real and nominal shocks, coming from Euro area. In other words, we test the non-neutrality of exchange rate regimes with respect to these connections. Our PVAR model results reveal that the choice of monetary regimes indeed determines the ability of a country to absorb the external shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Khan & Nikolay Nenovsky, 2017. "Monetary Regimes and External Shocks Reaction: Empirical Investigations on Eastern European Economies," Post-Print hal-03831265, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03831265
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://u-picardie.hal.science/hal-03831265
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General

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