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State dependence and labour market transitions in the European Union

Listed author(s):
  • Richard Duhautois

    ()

    (CEE - Centre d'études de l'emploi - M.E.N.E.S.R. - Ministère de l'Éducation nationale, de l’Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche - Ministère du Travail, de l'Emploi et de la Santé, ERUDITE - Equipe de Recherche sur l’Utilisation des Données Individuelles en lien avec la Théorie Economique - UPEM - Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée - UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12)

  • Christine Erhel

    ()

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UP1 - Université Panthéon-Sorbonne, CEE - Centre d'études de l'emploi - M.E.N.E.S.R. - Ministère de l'Éducation nationale, de l’Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche - Ministère du Travail, de l'Emploi et de la Santé)

  • Mathilde Guergoat-Larivière

    ()

    (LIRSA - Laboratoire Interdisciplinaire de Recherche en Sciences de l'Action - CNAM - Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers [CNAM], CEE - Centre d'études de l'emploi - M.E.N.E.S.R. - Ministère de l'Éducation nationale, de l’Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche - Ministère du Travail, de l'Emploi et de la Santé)

Using conditional dynamic multinomial logit models that allow to disentangle between state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity, this article proposes an empirical analysis of labour market mobility in the European Union based on EU-SILC data. It shows that the role of true state dependence varies a lot across social groups (according to age, sex and education) and across countries. In particular, state dependence can be related for the different social groups and country groups studied to various structural explanations in terms of institutional arrangements (education and retirement policies, leave policies, childcare policies, labour market policies…) and/or to employers' behaviour.

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File URL: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01130793/document
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Paper provided by HAL in its series Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) with number halshs-01130793.

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Date of creation: Nov 2014
Publication status: Published in Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 2014.82 - ISSN : 1955-611X. 2014
Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-01130793
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01130793
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  1. Christine Erhel & Mathilde Guergoat-Larivière, 2013. "La mobilité de la main d'œuvre en Europe : le rôle des caractéristiques individuelles et de l'hétérogénéité entre pays," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00849323, HAL.
  2. Haltiwanger, John C. & Scarpetta, Stefano & Schweiger, Helena, 2006. "Assessing Job Flows across Countries: The Role of Industry, Firm Size and Regulations," IZA Discussion Papers 2450, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  3. Ward-Warmedinger, Melanie E. & Macchiarelli, Corrado, 2013. "Transitions in Labour Market Status in the EU," IZA Discussion Papers 7814, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  4. Aeberhardt, Romain & Davezies, Laurent, 2012. "Practical guidelines for the estimation and inference of a dynamic logistic model with fixed-effects," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 300-304.
  5. Thierry Magnac, 1997. "Les stages et l'insertion professionnelle des jeunes : une évaluation statistique," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 304(1), pages 75-94.
  6. Christine Erhel & Mathilde Guergoat-Larivière, 2013. "La mobilité de la main-d'œuvre en Europe. Le rôle des caractéristiques individuelles et de l'hétérogénéité entre pays," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 64(2), pages 309-343.
  7. Bo E. Honoré & Ekaterini Kyriazidou, 2000. "Panel Data Discrete Choice Models with Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(4), pages 839-874, July.
  8. Magnac, Thierry, 2000. "Subsidised Training and Youth Employment: Distinguishing Unobserved Heterogeneity from State Dependence in Labour Market Histories," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(466), pages 805-837, October.
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