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An Anatomy of Urbanization in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Pierre-Philippe Combes

    (ECON - Département d'économie (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CEPR - Center for Economic Policy Research)

  • Clément Gorin

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne)

  • Shohei Nakamura

    (WBG = GBM - World Bank Group = Groupe Banque Mondiale)

  • Mark Roberts

    (WBG = GBM - World Bank Group = Groupe Banque Mondiale)

Abstract

This paper analyzes urbanization patterns across Sub-Saharan Africa circa 2015 using a dartboard algorithm and high-resolution gridded population data to delineate urban areas and urban cores, cities and their population centers, and towns. Key empirical regularities are presented regarding urban hierarchies and internal city structures. Urbanization rates often exceed official ones and vary considerably across countries from 29.4 % in Gabon to 78.1 % in Kenya. Within countries, delineated areas show great size diversity following Zipf's law, without much urban primacy. Cities' land area increases slightly less proportionally to their population. Monocentric population patterns with declining population density toward peripheries largely dominate, though some large multicentric extended, not necessarily capital, cities exist.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre-Philippe Combes & Clément Gorin & Shohei Nakamura & Mark Roberts, 2025. "An Anatomy of Urbanization in Sub-Saharan Africa," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-05446319, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-05446319
    DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104152
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-05446319v1
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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