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La croissance démographique dans les modèles à générations imbriquées

  • Hippolyte D'Albis

    ()

    (EUREQUA - Equipe Universitaire de Recherche en Economie Quantitative - UP1 - Université Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS)

In this paper, we develop a continuous time overlapping generations model to analyze the relationship between demographic growth rate and the interest rate. We show there exists a finite demographic growth rate that minimizes the interest rate. This implies that the relation between the two variables is not monotonic. We provide a theoretical characterization of the growth rate that minimizes the interest rate and explain why standard overlapping generations models proposed by Diamond [1965] and Blanchard [1985] systematically exhibit an increasing relationship between the demographic growth rate and the interest rate.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) with number hal-00630245.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00630245
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00630245
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  1. Andrew B. Abel, 2002. "The effects of a baby boom on stock prices and capital accumulation in the presence of Social Security," Working Papers 03-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  2. Antoine Bommier & Ronald D. Lee, 2003. "Overlapping generations models with realistic demography," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 135-160, 02.
  3. Boucekkine, Raouf & de la Croix, David & Licandro, Omar, 2002. "Vintage Human Capital, Demographic Trends, and Endogenous Growth," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 340-375, June.
  4. Burke, Jonathan L., 1996. "Equilibrium for Overlapping Generations in Continuous Time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 70(2), pages 364-390, August.
  5. Olivier J. Blanchard, 1984. "Debt, Deficits and Finite Horizons," NBER Working Papers 1389, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Willem H. Buiter, 1986. "Death, Population Growth, Productivity Growth and Debt Neutrality," NBER Working Papers 2027, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Weil, Philippe, 1989. "Overlapping families of infinitely-lived agents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 183-198, March.
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