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Démographie et fluctuations économiques

  • Hippolyte D'Albis

    ()

    (GREMAQ - Groupe de recherche en économie mathématique et quantitative - CNRS - Institut national de la recherche agronomique (INRA) - UT1 - Université Toulouse 1 Capitole - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales)

  • Emmanuelle Augeraud-Véron

    ()

    (MIA - Mathématiques, Image et Applications - Université de La Rochelle)

  • Marie Bessec

    (CGEMP - Université Paris IX - Paris Dauphine)

This paper shows that a neoclassical model with standard assumptions but endowed with an explicit age structure of the population, converges to its balanced growth path with damped oscillations. It therefore reproduces a trend-reverting process with short run fluctuations that is displayed by the gross domestic product time series of most OECD countries.

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Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number hal-00630246.

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Date of creation: 2004
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Revue Economique, Presses de Sciences Po, 2004, 55 (3), pp.429-437
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00630246
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00630246
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  1. Azariadis, Costas & Bullard, James & Ohanian, Lee, 2004. "Trend-reverting fluctuations in the life-cycle model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 334-356, December.
  2. Weil, Philippe, 1989. "Overlapping families of infinitely-lived agents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 183-198, March.
  3. Kehoe, Timothy J. & Levine, David K. & Mas-Colell, Andreu & Woodford, Michael, 1991. "Gross substitutability in large-square economies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 1-25, June.
  4. Raouf Boucekkine & David de la Croix & Omar Licandro, . "vintage human capital, demographic trends and endogenous growth," Working Papers 2000-02, FEDEA.
  5. Sergio Rebelo, 1999. "Long Run Policy Analysis and Long Run Growth," Levine's Working Paper Archive 2114, David K. Levine.
  6. Burke, Jonathan L., 1990. "A benchmark for comparative dynamics and determinacy in overlapping-generations economies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 268-303, December.
  7. Olivier J. Blanchard, 1984. "Debt, Deficits and Finite Horizons," NBER Working Papers 1389, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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