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Démographie et fluctuations économiques

  • Hippolyte D'Albis

    ()

    (GREMAQ - Groupe de recherche en économie mathématique et quantitative - CNRS : UMR5604 - Université des Sciences Sociales - Toulouse I - Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales (EHESS) - INRA : UMR)

  • Emmanuelle Augeraud-Véron

    ()

    (MIA - Mathématiques, Image et Applications - Université de La Rochelle : EA3165)

  • Marie Bessec

    (CGEMP - Université Paris IX Dauphine)

Cet article montre qu'un modèle néo-classique, aux hypothèses habituelles mais pourvu d'une structure par âge de la population explicite, converge vers son sentier de croissance équilibré avec des oscillations amorties. Il reproduit ainsi un processus de retour à la moyenne avec fluctuations de court terme que l'on observe dans les séries de produit intérieur brut de la plupart des pays de l'OCDE.

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File URL: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/63/02/46/PDF/04re-albis-augeraud-bessec.pdf
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Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number hal-00630246.

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Date of creation: 2004
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published, Revue Economique, 2004, 55, 3, 429-437
Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00630246
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00630246/en/
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  1. Azariadis, Costas & Bullard, James & Ohanian, Lee, 2004. "Trend-reverting fluctuations in the life-cycle model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 334-356, December.
  2. Weil, Philippe, 1989. "Overlapping families of infinitely-lived agents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 183-198, March.
  3. Raouf Boucekkine & David de la Croix & Omar Licandro, . "vintage human capital, demographic trends and endogenous growth," Working Papers 2000-02, FEDEA.
  4. Sergio T. Rebelo, 1990. "Long Run Policy Analysis and Long Run Growth," NBER Working Papers 3325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Kehoe, Timothy J. & Levine, David K. & Mas-Colell, Andreu & Woodford, Michael, 1991. "Gross substitutability in large-square economies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 1-25, June.
  6. Olivier J. Blanchard, 1984. "Debt, Deficits and Finite Horizons," NBER Working Papers 1389, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Burke, Jonathan L., 1990. "A benchmark for comparative dynamics and determinacy in overlapping-generations economies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 268-303, December.
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