IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hae/wpaper/2021-5.html

Bird's eye view of COVID-19, mobility, and labor market outcomes across the US

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Fuleky

    (UHERO and Department of Economics, University of Hawai'i at Manoa)

  • Istvan Szapudi

    (Institute for Astronomy, University of Hawai'i at Manoa,)

Abstract

COVID-19 dealt a formidable blow to the US economy. We present a joint analysis of the epidemiological and labor market outcomes across US states. We focus on the relationship across relevant indicators in the pre-vaccination era. As expected, we find strong correlation between changes in economic conditions and mobility. However, mobility fluctuations tend to be uncorrelated with local epidemics and occur simultaneously across most states. The magnitude of the mobility response is highly correlated with the rural vs. urban character of the area. Employment losses are most strongly associated with high population density and concentration of the leisure and hospitality industry. The relationship between job losses and the case fatality ratio is affected by the timing of the most severe COVID-19 waves.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Fuleky & Istvan Szapudi, 2021. "Bird's eye view of COVID-19, mobility, and labor market outcomes across the US," Working Papers 2021-5, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
  • Handle: RePEc:hae:wpaper:2021-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://uhero.hawaii.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/UHEROwp2105.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2021
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. J. O. Lloyd-Smith & S. J. Schreiber & P. E. Kopp & W. M. Getz, 2005. "Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence," Nature, Nature, vol. 438(7066), pages 355-359, November.
    2. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2006. "Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(4), pages 967-1012, July.
    3. Christian Dreger & Daniel Gros, 2021. "Lockdowns and the US Unemployment Crisis," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 449-463, October.
    4. Seung Jin Cho & Jun Yeong Lee & John V. Winters, 2021. "Employment impacts of the COVID‐19 pandemic across metropolitan status and size," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(4), pages 1958-1996, December.
    5. Baltagi, Badi H. & Chang, Young-Jae & Li, Qi, 1992. "Monte Carlo results on several new and existing tests for the error component model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 95-120.
    6. Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona & Hurlin, Christophe, 2012. "Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1450-1460.
    7. Jeffrey M Wooldridge, 2010. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232588, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Oleg Bazaluk & Sheikh Abdul Kader & Nurul Mohammad Zayed & Rupok Chowdhury & Md. Zahirul Islam & Vitalii S. Nitsenko & Hanna Bratus, 2025. "Determinant on Economic Growth in Developing Country: A Special Case Regarding Turkey and Bangladesh," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(1), pages 135-159, March.
    2. Amendolagine, Vito & De Pascale, Gianluigi & Faccilongo, Nicola, 2021. "International capital mobility and corporate tax revenues: How do controlled foreign company rules and innovation shape this relationship?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    3. Lu, Xun & Su, Liangjun, 2020. "Determining individual or time effects in panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 60-83.
    4. Suproń, Błażej, 2024. "Impact of the green transition on the production of cereals in the European Union. New insights based on the FGLS panel data model," MPRA Paper 122723, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 May 2024.
    5. Muhammad Shahbaz & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Perry Sadorsky, 2018. "How strong is the causal relationship between globalization and energy consumption in developed economies? A country-specific time-series and panel analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(13), pages 1479-1494, March.
    6. Gangopadhyay, Partha & Jain, Siddharth & Bakry, Walid, 2022. "In search of a rational foundation for the massive IT boom in the Australian banking industry: Can the IT boom really drive relationship banking?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    7. Boniface Ngah Epo & Younous Fozoudine Tapche Ndam & Ambiana Mireille Abiala, 2024. "Knowledge Economy and Financial Development in Developing Countries: Evidence from a Panel Autoregressive Distributed-Lag (ARDL) Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 18412-18466, December.
    8. Dierk Herzer, 2024. "A panel data analysis of the long-run effect of environmental taxes on R&D expenditures at the macro-level," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(3), pages 1169-1180.
    9. Madhu Sehrawat & Sanjay Kumar Singh, 2021. "Do Corruption and Income Inequality Play Spoilsport in The Energy Efficiency-Growth Relationship in BRICS Countries?," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(4), pages 727-746, December.
    10. Mohammad Mafizur Rahman & Xuan-Binh (Benjamin) Vu & Son Nghiem, 2022. "Economic Growth in Six ASEAN Countries: Are Energy, Human Capital and Financial Development Playing Major Roles?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-17, April.
    11. Brian Tavonga Mazorodze, 2025. "Renewable Energy Consumption and Green Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(7), pages 1-25, April.
    12. Sakiru Adebola Solarin, 2022. "Modelling Two Dimensions of Poverty in Selected Developing Countries: The Impact of Fossil Fuel Subsidies," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 160(1), pages 357-379, February.
    13. Mahmood Ahmad & Zahoor Ahmed & Xiyue Yang & Muhlis Can, 2023. "Natural Resources Depletion, Financial Risk, and Human Well-Being: What is the Role of Green Innovation and Economic Globalization?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 269-288, June.
    14. Ajanaku, B.A. & Collins, A.R., 2021. "Economic growth and deforestation in African countries: Is the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis applicable?," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    15. Hussein Moghaddam & Robert M. Kunst, 2023. "The Role of Natural Gas in Mitigating Greenhouse Gas Emissions: The Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Major Gas-Producing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-20, February.
    16. Wang, Jun & Ghosh, Sudeshna & Olayinka, Olohunlana Aminat & Doğan, Buhari & Shah, Muhammad Ibrahim & Zhong, Kaiyang, 2022. "Achieving energy security amidst the world uncertainty in newly industrialized economies: The role of technological advancement," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    17. Yilmaz Onur Ari, 2020. "The Relationship Between Renewable Energy Consumption, Trade Openness And Economic Growth: The Case Of Bosnia And Herzegovina," Economic Review: Journal of Economics and Business, University of Tuzla, Faculty of Economics, vol. 18(1), pages 49-59, May.
    18. Chen, Liang & Guo, Yirong, 2023. "The drivers of sustainable development: Natural resources extraction and education for low-middle- and high-income countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    19. Amin, Nabila & Shabbir, Muhammad Salman & Song, Huaming & Farrukh, Muhammad Umar & Iqbal, Shahid & Abbass, Kashif, 2023. "A step towards environmental mitigation: Do green technological innovation and institutional quality make a difference?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    20. Olufemi Adewale Aluko & Olufemi Patrick Adeyeye & Patrick Olajide Oladele, 2020. "Finance–growth nexus in sub-Saharan Africa revisited: evidence based on a new composite index," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 333-355, May.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • J28 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Safety; Job Satisfaction; Related Public Policy
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hae:wpaper:2021-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: UHERO (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/heuhius.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.