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Information Asymmetries and Outside Options on Election Day: Theory and Evidence from Venezuela’s 2024 Election Fraud

Author

Listed:
  • Jose Morales-Arilla

    (School of Government and Public Transformation, Tecnológico de Monterrey)

  • Zinedine Partipilo Cornielles

    (Department of Economics, Harvard University)

Abstract

El estudio analiza cómo las asimetrías de información durante la noche electoral pueden facilitar el fraude en regímenes autoritarios. A partir de las elecciones venezolanas de 2024, reconstruye los flujos de información del gobierno y la oposición. Los resultados muestran que el régimen supo antes que su derrota era irreversible, mientras la oposición permaneció incierta, creando una ventana estratégica para retrasar resultados y sostener un fraude postelectoral.

Suggested Citation

  • Jose Morales-Arilla & Zinedine Partipilo Cornielles, 2026. "Information Asymmetries and Outside Options on Election Day: Theory and Evidence from Venezuela’s 2024 Election Fraud," Working Paper Series of the School of Government and Public Transformation 39, School of Governement and Public Transformation.
    • Handle: RePEc:gnt:wpaper:39
    as

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    File URL: https://egobiernoytp.tec.mx/sites/default/files/2026-08/Information_Asymmetries_Outside_Options_Election.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2026
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