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The economywide effects of teff, wheat, and maize production increases in Ethiopia: Results of economywide modeling

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  • Benson, Todd
  • Engida, Ermias
  • Thurlow, James

Abstract

The government of Ethiopia is investing significant public resources to increase overall national production of teff, wheat, and maize. To better understand the likely economywide effects of increases of between 12 and 14 percent in the national production of these cereals, a set of production increase scenarios for each crop were run using a computable general equilibrium model of the Ethiopian economy. The analyses were extended to also consider the effects of several international wheat price and wheat import scenarios, a wheat subsidy program, and maize exports. Among the effects considered are changes in economic growth, prices, total household consumption, cereal and calorie consumption levels, and poverty measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Benson, Todd & Engida, Ermias & Thurlow, James, 2014. "The economywide effects of teff, wheat, and maize production increases in Ethiopia: Results of economywide modeling," IFPRI discussion papers 1366, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:fpr:ifprid:1366
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/10568/150325
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dorosh, Paul A. & Rashid, Shahidur, 2012. "Introduction [in Ethiopian Agriculture]," IFPRI book chapters, in: Food and agriculture in Ethiopia: Progress and policy challenges, chapter 1, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Benin, Samuel & Diao, Xinshen & Fan, Shenggen & Thurlow, James, 2012. "Strategies and priorities for African agriculture: Economywide perspectives from country studies," IFPRI books, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), number Xinshen Diao.
    3. repec:fpr:ifprib:xinshendiao is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Woldu, Thomas & Abebe, Girum & Lamoot, Indra & Minten, Bart, 2013. "Urban food retail in Africa: The case of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia," ESSP working papers 50, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    5. Berhane, Guush & McBride, Linden & Hirfrfot, Kibrom Tafere & Tamru, Seneshaw, 2012. "Patterns in foodgrain consumption and calorie intake," IFPRI book chapters, in: Food and agriculture in Ethiopia: Progress and policy challenges, chapter 7, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. repec:fpr:ifprib:9780812245295 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Biggeri, Mario & Burchi, Francesco & Ciani, Federico & Herrmann, Raoul, 2018. "Linking small-scale farmers to the durum wheat value chain in Ethiopia: Assessing the effects on production and wellbeing," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 77-91.
    2. Lin, Jessie & Gupta, Anubhab, 2022. "Implications of Farm Size and Staple Production on Rural and Urban Food Security and Dietary Diversity," 96th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2022, K U Leuven, Belgium 321161, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.

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    Keywords

    economic growth; teff; cereals; agricultural growth; maize; econometric models; wheat; Ethiopia; Eastern Africa; Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa;
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