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Expanding teff production: Economywide analysis of growth and poverty impacts

In: The economics of teff: Exploring Ethiopia’s biggest cash crop

Author

Listed:
  • Benson, Todd
  • Legesse, Ermias, Engida
  • Thurlow, James

Abstract

This chapter analyzes the economywide effects of significantly increasing the production of teff, wheat, and maize, both separately and jointly. Although our particular focus is on teff, maize and wheat are also considered closely in order to contrast the characteristics of teff and the other two cereals within the Ethiopian economy and for Ethiopian households. A detailed Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the Ethiopian economy is used for this analysis. The CGE model is linked to a household survey–based microsimulation module. This enables estimation of the impact on household poverty and calorie intake of the various production scenarios run through the model. The production increases simulated in the analysis are consistent with the targets set by the Ethiopian Agricultural Transformation Agency (ATA) through their Teff, Wheat, and Maize Initiatives that began in 2012 and 2013. Accordingly, the simulation results provide additional evidence for evaluating Ethiopia’s cereals investment plan and the design of broader agricultural development strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Benson, Todd & Legesse, Ermias, Engida & Thurlow, James, 2018. "Expanding teff production: Economywide analysis of growth and poverty impacts," IFPRI book chapters,in: The economics of teff: Exploring Ethiopia’s biggest cash crop, chapter 10, pages 232-262 International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  • Handle: RePEc:fpr:ifpric:9780896292833_10
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Channing Arndt & M. Azhar Hussain & E. Samuel Jones & Virgulino Nhate & Finn Tarp & James Thurlow, 2013. "Explaining the Evolution of Poverty: The Case of Mozambique," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(1), pages 206-206.
    2. Berhane, Guush & Mcbride, Linden & Hirfrfot, Kibrom Tafere & Tamru, Seneshaw, 2012. "Patterns in foodgrain consumption and calorie intake," IFPRI book chapters,in: Food and agriculture in Ethiopia: Progress and policy challenges, chapter 7 International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    3. Dorosh, Paul A. & Rashid, Shahidur, 2012. "Food and agriculture in Ethiopia: Progress and policy challenges," IFPRI books, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), number 978-0-81224-529-5 edited by Dorosh, Paul A. & Rashid, Shahidur.
    4. Dorosh, Paul A. & Rashid, Shahidur, 2012. "Introduction [In Food and agriculture in Ethiopia: Progress and policy challenges]," IFPRI book chapters,in: Food and agriculture in Ethiopia: Progress and policy challenges, chapter 1 International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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