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Industrial development and the convergence question

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  • Marvin Goodfriend
  • John McDermott

Abstract

The paper studies endogenous world balanced growth equilibria in which national learning productivity differentials govern relative per capita products. Learning productivities depend on the national share of world specialized-goods production, national and world scale, and familiarity with the foreign economy. Familiarity indexes the extent to which imported specialized goods enhance learning productivity. We find that mutual familiarization causes per capita products to converge. Unfamiliar economies diverge substantially and persistently. Unilateral familiarization of a less-developed country (LDC) with the leading economy causes the LDC to catch up to, and even overtake, the leader.

Suggested Citation

  • Marvin Goodfriend & John McDermott, 1999. "Industrial development and the convergence question," Working Paper 99-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedrwp:99-01
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yoshiaki Sugimoto, 2003. "Inequality, Growth, and Overtaking," Data 0304001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Jakob Brochner Madsen, 2016. "Human Accomplishment and Growth in Britain since 1270: The Role of Great Scientists and Education," Monash Economics Working Papers 01-16, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    3. Marvin Goodfriend, 2007. "Monetary Policy in East Asia: Common Concerns," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 25(S1), pages 207-232, December.
    4. Thierry Vignolo & Agnès d'Artigues, 2003. "Why Global Integration May Lead to Terrorism: An Evolutionary Theory of Mimetic Rivalry," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(11), pages 1-8.
    5. Douglas Gollin & Richard Rogerson, 2014. "Agriculture, Roads, and Economic Development in Uganda," NBER Chapters,in: African Successes, Volume IV: Sustainable Growth, pages 69-110 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Yvonne Sperlich & Stefan Sperlich, 2012. "Income Development and Sigma convergence in South–South Agreement Areas," Research Papers by the Institute of Economics and Econometrics, Geneva School of Economics and Management, University of Geneva 12031, Institut d'Economie et Econométrie, Université de Genève.
    7. Costantini, Mauro & Destefanis, Sergio, 2009. "Cointegration analysis for cross-sectionally dependent panels: The case of regional production functions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 320-327, March.
    8. Baldwin, Richard E & Martin, Philippe & Ottaviano, Gianmarco I P, 2001. "Global Income Divergence, Trade, and Industrialization: The Geography of Growth Take-Offs," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 5-37, March.
    9. repec:kap:jecgro:v:22:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s10887-017-9145-z is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Theo S Eicher & Klaas vant Veld, 2000. "Search in Research: An Evolutionary Approach to Technical Change and Growth"," Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington 0005, Department of Economics at the University of Washington.
    11. Nils-Petter Lagerlöf & Thomas Tangerås, 2008. "From rent seeking to human capital: a model where resource shocks cause transitions from stagnation to growth," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 41(3), pages 760-780, August.
    12. Andrea Mario Lavezzi & Davide Fiaschi, 2004. "Nonlinear Growth and the Productivity Slowdown," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 162, Society for Computational Economics.
    13. Habibullah, M.S. & Dayang-Afizzah, A.M., 2008. "Bordering neighbours: Testing for border effect on Malaysia's northern states and Southern Thailand," MPRA Paper 12103, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Lagerlöf, Nils-Petter & Tangerås, Thomas, 2005. "Human Capital, Rent Seeking, and a Transition from Stagnation to Growth," Working Paper Series 656, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    15. Andreas Hornstein & Per Krusell, 2003. "Implications of the capital-embodiment revolution for directed R&D and wage inequality," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 25-50.
    16. Giannetti, Mariassunta, 2002. "The effects of integration on regional disparities: Convergence, divergence or both?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 539-567, March.
    17. Marcelo Soto, 2000. "Capital Flows and Growth in Developing Countries: Recent Empirical Evidence," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 160, OECD Publishing.
    18. Dias, Joilson & McDermott, John, 2006. "Institutions, education, and development: The role of entrepreneurs," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 299-328, August.
    19. Soto, Marcelo, 2003. "Taxing capital flows: an empirical comparative analysis," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 203-221, October.
    20. Sugimoto, Yoshiaki, 2006. "Inequality, Growth, And Overtaking," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(05), pages 625-651, November.
    21. McDermott, John, 2002. "Development Dynamics: Economic Integration and the Demographic Transition," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 371-409, December.
    22. William Darity & Lewis S. Davis, 2005. "Growth, trade and uneven development," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 29(1), pages 141-170, January.
    23. Yoshiaki Sugimoto, 2005. "Inequality, Growth, and Overtaking," Development and Comp Systems 0508012, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Todo, Yasuyuki, 2003. "Empirically consistent scale effects: An endogenous growth model with technology transfer to developing countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 25-46, March.

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    Keywords

    Productivity;

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