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Early Development

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  • Goodfriend, Marvin
  • McDermott, John

Abstract

Long-term economic development involves four fundamental processes: the exploitation of increasing returns to specialization, the transition from household to market production, knowledge and human-capital accumulation, and industrialization. This paper integrates these processes into a coherent framework for thinking about economic history. Preindustrial development is driven by increasing returns to specialization made possible by a growing population. Increasing specialization eventually activates a learning technology and initiates industrial growth, which carries the economy to a fully market-based balanced-growth path. Among other things, the authors attribute a role to population and market size that is consistent with the evidence. Copyright 1995 by American Economic Association.

Suggested Citation

  • Goodfriend, Marvin & McDermott, John, 1995. "Early Development," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(1), pages 116-133, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:85:y:1995:i:1:p:116-33
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