Seasonal production smoothing
Empirical tests of the production-smoothing hypothesis have yielded mixed results. In this paper, Donald Allen looks for, and finds evidence of, seasonal production smoothing in 15 out of 25 manufacturing series and 8 out of 10 retail series, using detrended seasonally unadjusted data. The equivalent test using seasonally adjusted data were negative for all 35 series. The results suggest that seasonally adjusted data obscure short-term production-smoothing.
|Date of creation:||1999|
|Publication status:||Published in Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, September/October 1999, 81(5), pp. 21-40|
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NBER Working Papers
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- Jeffrey A. Miron & Stephen P. Zeldes, "undated". "Seasonality, Cost Shocks and the Production Smoothing Model of Inventories," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 01-87, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
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3522, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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896, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
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- Dimelis, Sophia P. & Ghali, Moheb A., 1994. "Classical and variance bounds tests of the production smoothing hypothesis," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1-3), pages 15-22, June.
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