IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/fip/fedhwp/97417.html

Immigration and the Labor Market in the Post-Pandemic Recovery

Author

Listed:

Abstract

Standard estimates based on the main household survey used to shed light on labor markets—the Current Population Survey (CPS)—suggest that after a significant drop during the pandemic, recent rapid growth has brought the foreign-born population back to, or above, levels predicted by the pre-pandemic trend. However, we document that the weighting factors used to make the CPS nationally representative have recently displayed some unusual movements and conclude that standard estimates of the foreign-born population may currently be too high. We also show that recent labor market indicators are inconsistent with increased foreign-born induced slack.

Suggested Citation

  • Kristin F. Butcher & Lucas Cain & Camilo Garcia-Jimeno & Ryan Perry, 2023. "Immigration and the Labor Market in the Post-Pandemic Recovery," Working Paper Series WP 2023-39, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhwp:97417
    DOI: 10.21033/wp-2023-39
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.21033/wp-2023-39
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.21033/wp-2023-39?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Steven J. Davis & R. Jason Faberman & John C. Haltiwanger, 2012. "Recruiting Intensity during and after the Great Recession: National and Industry Evidence," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 584-588, May.
    2. Bruce D. Meyer & Wallace K. C. Mok & James X. Sullivan, 2015. "Household Surveys in Crisis," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 29(4), pages 199-226, Fall.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Maggie Isaacson & Cassandra Marks & Lowell R. Ricketts & Hannah Rubinton, 2024. "The Effect of COVID Immigration Restrictions on Post-Pandemic Labor Market Tightness," Working Papers 2024-003, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 20 Nov 2024.
    2. Maggie Isaacson & Cassandra Marks & Lowell R. Ricketts & Hannah Rubinton, 2024. "The Effect of COVID-19 Immigration Restrictions on Post-Pandemic Labor Market Tightness," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Herbst, Chris M., 2018. "The rising cost of child care in the United States: A reassessment of the evidence," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 13-30.
    2. Alvaredo, Facundo & Bourguignon, François & Ferreira, Francisco H. G. & Lustig, Nora, 2023. "Seventy-five Years of Measuring Income Inequality in Latin America," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13157, Inter-American Development Bank.
    3. David Brady & Marco Giesselmann & Ulrich Kohler & Anke Radenacker, 2018. "How to measure and proxy permanent income: evidence from Germany and the U.S," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 16(3), pages 321-345, September.
    4. Bloom, Nicholas & Davis, Steven J. & Hansen, Stephen & Lambert, Peter John & Sadun, Raffaella & Taska, Bledi, 2023. "Remote work across jobs, companies and space," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121302, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Rothbart, Michah W. & Heflin, Colleen, 2023. "Inequality in literacy skills at kindergarten entry at the intersections of social programs and race," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    6. Charles Courtemanche & Augustine Denteh & Rusty Tchernis, 2019. "Estimating the Associations between SNAP and Food Insecurity, Obesity, and Food Purchases with Imperfect Administrative Measures of Participation," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 86(1), pages 202-228, July.
    7. Bradley L. Hardy & Elizabeth Krause & James P. Ziliak, 2024. "Income inequality in the United States, 1975–2022," Fiscal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(2), pages 155-171, June.
    8. Brian A'Hearn & Stefano Chianese & Giovanni Vecchi, 2020. "Aristocracy and Inequality in Italy, 1861-1931," HHB Working Papers Series 18, The Historical Household Budgets Project.
    9. Daniel L. Millimet & Christopher F. Parmeter, 2025. "The impact of measurement error on trends in earnings inequality in the USA," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 69(5), pages 2727-2753, November.
    10. Bradley Hardy & Timothy Smeeding & James P. Ziliak, 2018. "The Changing Safety Net for Low-Income Parents and Their Children: Structural or Cyclical Changes in Income Support Policy?," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(1), pages 189-221, February.
    11. Pihl, Ariel Marek, 2022. "Head Start and mothers’ work: Free child care or something more?," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    12. David S. Johnson & Helen Levy & Jordan Matsudaira & Barbara L. Wolfe & James P. Ziliak, 2024. "Measuring Poverty: Advances to the Supplemental Poverty Measure," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 711(1), pages 20-37, January.
    13. Rebecca M. Blank & David Card & Hanns Kuttner, 2024. "Newly Poor Women and the Social Safety Net, 1990–2010," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 711(1), pages 121-143, January.
    14. Ay?egül ?ahin & Joseph Song & Giorgio Topa & Giovanni L. Violante, 2014. "Mismatch Unemployment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(11), pages 3529-3564, November.
    15. Cristian Badarinza & John Y. Campbell & Tarun Ramadorai, 2016. "International Comparative Household Finance," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 8(1), pages 111-144, October.
    16. Deniz Dutz & Ingrid Huitfeldt & Santiago Lacouture & Magne Mogstad & Alexander Torgovitsky & Winnie van Dijk, 2021. "Selection in Surveys," NBER Working Papers 29549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
      • Deniz Dutz & Ingrid Huitfeldt & Santiago Lacouture & Magne Mogstad & Alexander Torgovitsky & Winnie van Dijk, 2021. "Selection in Surveys," Discussion Papers 971, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    17. Alicia Sasser Modestino & Mary A. Burke & Shahriar Sadighi & Rachel Sederberg & Tomer Stern & Bledi Taska, 2026. "No Longer Qualified? Changes in the Supply and Demand for Skills within Occupations," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 79(3), pages 486-522, May.
    18. R. Jason Faberman, 2020. "Recruiting intensity," World of Labour, LISER, pages 1-21, July.
    19. Ha Trong Nguyen & Huong Thu Le & Luke B Connelly, 2021. "Who's declining the “free lunch”? New evidence from the uptake of public child dental benefits," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 270-288, February.
    20. Ioana Marinescu & Roland Rathelot, 2018. "Mismatch Unemployment and the Geography of Job Search," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 42-70, July.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedhwp:97417. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lauren Wiese (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbchus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.