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FBST for Unit Root Problems

Author

Listed:
  • Márcio Alves Diniz
  • C.A.B.Pereira
  • J.M.Stern

Abstract

This paper presents the Full Bayesian Significance Test for unit roots in auto-regressive time series, and compares it to other approaches on a benchmark of 14 econometric series.

Suggested Citation

  • Márcio Alves Diniz & C.A.B.Pereira & J.M.Stern, 2008. "FBST for Unit Root Problems," Working Papers 08_11, Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto.
  • Handle: RePEc:fea:wpaper:08_11
    as

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    File URL: ftp://cpq.fearp.usp.br:2300/textos_discussao/eco/wpe08_11.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2008
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Poirier, Dale J, 1991. "To Criticize the Critics: An Objective Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Trends: A Comment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(4), pages 381-386, Oct.-Dec..
    2. Phillips, P C B, 1991. "To Criticize the Critics: An Objective Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Trends," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(4), pages 333-364, Oct.-Dec..
    3. Sims, Christopher A., 1988. "Bayesian skepticism on unit root econometrics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 463-474.
    4. Leamer, Edward E, 1991. "To Criticize the Critics: An Objective Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Trends: Comment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(4), pages 371-373, Oct.-Dec..
    5. Koop, Gary & Steel, Mark F J, 1991. "To Criticize the Critics: An Objective Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Trends: A Comment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(4), pages 365-370, Oct.-Dec..
    6. Sims, Christopher A & Uhlig, Harald, 1991. "Understanding Unit Rooters: A Helicopter Tour," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1591-1599, November.
    7. Conigliani, Caterina & Spezzaferri, Fulvio, 2007. "A Robust Bayesian Approach For Unit Root Testing," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(03), pages 440-463, June.
    8. Goffe, William L. & Ferrier, Gary D. & Rogers, John, 1994. "Global optimization of statistical functions with simulated annealing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 65-99.
    9. Stern, J. M. & Zacks, S., 2002. "Testing the independence of Poisson variates under the Holgate bivariate distribution: the power of a new evidence test," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 313-320, December.
    10. Bauwens, Luc & Lubrano, Michel & Richard, Jean-Francois, 2000. "Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Econometric Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198773139.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ARMA models; e-values; FBST; Unit roots;

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