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Okun's Law and Jobless Growth

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Abstract

This paper attempts to relate the recent discussion on jobless recovery, observed in the US economy since the 1990s, to the empirical studies on Okun's law, which postulates a specific empirical relationship between economic growth and the change in the rate of unemployment. Our general hypothesis is that if the Okun coefficient for the economy has weakened, it explains the jobless recovery.

Suggested Citation

  • Willi Semmler & Jeff Madrick & Tarron Khemraj, 2006. "Okun's Law and Jobless Growth," SCEPA policy note series. 2006-03, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    • Handle: RePEc:epa:cepapn:2006_03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Greiner, Alfred & Rubart, Jens & Semmler, Willi, 2004. "Economic growth, skill-biased technical change and wage inequality: A model and estimations for the US and Europe," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 597-621, December.
    2. Erica L. Groshen & Simon M. Potter, 2003. "Has structural change contributed to a jobless recovery?," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 9(Aug).
    3. Philippe Aghion & Peter Howitt, 1994. "Growth and Unemployment," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 61(3), pages 477-494.
    4. Lee, Jim, 2000. "The Robustness of Okun's Law: Evidence from OECD Countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 331-356, April.
    5. Stacey L. Schreft & Aarti Singh, 2003. "A closer look at jobless recoveries," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 88(Q II), pages 45-73.
    6. Richard B. Freeman & William M. Rodgers, 2005. "The weak jobs recovery: whatever happened to \\"the great American jobs machine\\"?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Aug, pages 3-18.
    7. Gong, Gang & Semmler, Willi, 2006. "Stochastic Dynamic Macroeconomics: Theory and Empirical Evidence," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195301625, Decembrie.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ezzahidi, Elhadj & El Alaoui, Aicha, 2014. "Economic Growth and Jobs Creation in Morocco: Overall and Sectors’ Analysis," MPRA Paper 57841, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 22 Apr 2014.
    2. Afşin Şahin & Aysit Tansel & M. Hakan Berument, 2015. "Output–Employment Relationship Across Sectors: A Long- Versus Short-Run Perspective," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 265-288, July.
    3. Pu Chen, Armon Rezai, Willi Semmler, 2007. "WP 2007-8 Productivity and Unemployment in the Short and Long Run," SCEPA working paper series. 2007-8, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    4. Kargi, Bilal, 2014. "Labor Force Participation Rate and Economic Growth: Observations for Turkey," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 4(4), pages 46-54.
    5. Afşin Şahin & Aysit Tansel & M. Hakan Berument, 2015. "Output–Employment Relationship Across Sectors: A Long- Versus Short-Run Perspective," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 265-288, July.
    6. Janusz Zaleski & Zbigniew Mogi³a & Marta Zaleska, 2012. "Are the effects of EU Cohesion Policy for the Polish regional labour markets worth their costs? - a study based on the results of counter-factual macroeconomic simulations," ERSA conference papers ersa12p615, European Regional Science Association.
    7. Cornelia VĂCEANU, 2014. "Evidence On Employment Rate And Economic Growth," SEA - Practical Application of Science, Romanian Foundation for Business Intelligence, Editorial Department, issue 5, pages 669-674, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Okun's Law; Jobless Growth;

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement

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