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What can keep euro area inflation high?

Author

Listed:
  • Reis, Ricardo

Abstract

A central bank that faces inflation above target may fail to bring it down. This article discusses six ways in which this happens because the central bank is dominated by: misjudgment, expectations, fiscal policy, financial markets, recession fears, or external forces. It applies this approach to the challenge facing the ECB in 2023-24. The hope is that the factors identified can serve as warning signs for what to avoid.

Suggested Citation

  • Reis, Ricardo, 2023. "What can keep euro area inflation high?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120728, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:120728
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    File URL: https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/120728/
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hall, Robert, 2016. "Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bank's Payment on Reserves," CEPR Discussion Papers 11578, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Hélène Rey, 2016. "International Channels of Transmission of Monetary Policy and the Mundellian Trilemma," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 64(1), pages 6-35, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nikou, Vasilis, 2025. "From exit to exposure: Gas import shocks and macroeconomic asymmetries in the wake of Europe's coal phaseout," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 335(C).
    2. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    3. Ferreira, Vicente & Abreu, Alexandre & Louçã, Francisco, 2025. "The rise and fall of inflation in the Euro Area (2021-2024): A heterodox perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 103-110.
    4. Gobbi, Lucio & Mazzocchi, Ronny & Tamborini, Roberto, 2025. "Inflation shocks and the New Keynesian model: When should central banks fear inflation expectations?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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