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What can keep euro area inflation high?

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  • Reis, Ricardo

Abstract

A central bank that faces inflation above target may fail to bring it down. This article discusses six ways in which this happens because the central bank is dominated by: misjudgment, expectations, fiscal policy, financial markets, recession fears, or external forces. It applies this approach to the challenge facing the ECB in 2023-24. The hope is that the factors identified can serve as warning signs for what to avoid.

Suggested Citation

  • Reis, Ricardo, 2023. "What can keep euro area inflation high?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120728, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:120728
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    File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/120728/
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hélène Rey, 2016. "International Channels of Transmission of Monetary Policy and the Mundellian Trilemma," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 64(1), pages 6-35, May.
    2. Hall, Robert, 2016. "Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bank's Payment on Reserves," CEPR Discussion Papers 11578, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    2. Ferreira, Vicente & Abreu, Alexandre & Louçã, Francisco, 2025. "The rise and fall of inflation in the Euro Area (2021-2024): A heterodox perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 103-110.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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