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Estimates Of Technology And Convergence: Simulation Results

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  • Graeme Wells
  • Thanasis Stengos

Abstract

Using a Solow-Swan model with a stochastic saving rate and stochastic productivity we analyse the distributions of parameter estimates that emerge under various choices of technology, and of the dimension of the panel on which cross-section regressions are based. There are distinct asymmetries that characterize these distributions. These asymmetries become more pronounced when the effects of a near-unit root in the productivity shock become magnified over a longer time horizon and when the underlying production function is not Cobb-Douglas. Consequently, relying on traditional econometric transformations of these parameter estimates based on symmetric distributions, such as t-ratios, will be quite misleading if one tries to assess technology parameters and B-convergence.

Suggested Citation

  • Graeme Wells & Thanasis Stengos, 2006. "Estimates Of Technology And Convergence: Simulation Results," CAMA Working Papers 2006-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2006-07
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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